December Offensive Draft Rankings

Quarterbacks

1. Brady Quinn, Notre Dame (6-4, 227)
2. Troy Smith, Ohio State (6-1, 215)
3. Jamarcus Russell, Louisiana State (6-6, 260)*
4. Colt Brennan, Hawaii (6-3, 190)*
5. Brian Brohm, Louisville (6-4, 224)*
6. Jordan Palmer, U.T.E.P. (6-5, 235)
7. Tyler Palko, Pittsburgh (6-2, 220)
8. Kevin Kolb, Houston (6-3, 225)
9. Drew Stanton, Michigan State (6-3, 230)
10. Sam Hollenbach, Maryland (6-5, 218)

Runningbacks

1. Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma (6-2, 218)*
2. Marshawn Lynch, California (5-11, 217)*
3. Tony Hunt, Penn State (6-2, 230)
4. Antonio Pittman, Ohio State (5-11, 195)*
5. Kenny Irons, Auburn (5-11, 200)
6. Kolby Smith, Louisville (5-11, 215)
7. Selvin Young, Texas (6-0, 215)
8. Dwayne Wright, Fresno State (6-1, 220)*
9. Cory Boyd, South Carolina (6-1, 201)*
10. Ken Darby, Alabama (5-11, 205)

Fullbacks

1. Brian Leonard, Rutgers (6-2, 235)
2. Le'Ron McClain, Alabama (6-1, 257)
3. Jason Snelling, Virginia (5-11, 232
4. Deon Anderson, Connecticut (5-11, 236)
5. Cory Anderson, Tennessee (6-3, 255)

Wide Receivers

1. Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech (6-5, 235)*
2. Sidney Rice, South Carolina (6-4, 202)*
3. Dwayne Jarrett, Southern Cal (6-5, 210)*
4. Ted Ginn Jr., Ohio State (6-0, 180)
5. Dwayne Bowe, Louisiana State (6-3, 217)
6. Jeff Samardzija, Notre Dame (6-5, 218)
7. Steve Smith, Southern Cal (6-0, 195)
8. Robert Meachem, Tennessee (6-3, 210)*
9. Rhema McKnight, Notre Dame (6-2, 212)
10. Jason Hill, Washington State (6-1, 210)

Tight Ends

1. Zach Miller, Arizona State (6-5, 259)*
2. Greg Olsen, Miami, Fl. (6-5, 252)*
3. Joe Newton, Oregon State (6-7, 256)
4. Clark Harris, Rutgers (6-6, 260)
5. Matt Spaeth, Minnesota (6-7, 265)
6. Martrez Milner, Georgia (6-4, 255)
7. Matt Herian, Nebraska (6-5, 245)
8. Scott Chandler, Iowa (6-7, 257)
9. Anthony Pudewell, Nevada (6-4, 250)
10. Marcel Frost, Jackson State (6-5, 255)*

Tackles

1. Joe Thomas, Wisconsin (6-8, 313)
2. Levi Brown, Penn State (6-5, 328)
3. Sam Baker, Southern Cal (6-5, 305)*
4. Joe Staley, Central Michigan (6-5, 300)
5. Arron Sears, Tennessee (6-4, 320)
6. Tony Ugoh, Arkansas (6-5, 314)
7. Ryan Harris, Notre Dame (6-5, 292)
8. Mike Otto, Purdue (6-5, 304)
9. James Marten, Boston College (6-7, 307)
10. Doug Free, Northern Illinois (6-7, 302)

Centers

1. Samson Satele, Hawaii (6-3, 311)
2. Doug Datish, Ohio State (6-5, 295)
3. Dan Mozes, West Virginia (6-4, 295)
4. Ryan Kalil, Southern Cal (6-3, 285)
5. Kyle Young, Fresno State (6-5, 330)
6. Scott Stephenson, Iowa State (6-4, 305)
7. Lyle Sendlein, Texas (6-5, 305)
8. Leroy Harris, North Carolina State (6-3, 300)
9. Enoka Lucas, Oregon (6-4, 299)
10. Mark Fenton, Colorado (6-4, 295)

Guards

1. Justin Blalock, Texas (6-4, 329)
2. Ben Grubbs, Auburn (6-3, 318)
3. Marshal Yanda, Iowa (6-4, 305)
4. Josh Beekman, Boston College (6-1, 321)
5. Manny Ramirez, Texas Tech (6-4, 335)
6. Dan Santucci, Notre Dame (6-4, 296)
7. Mansfield Wrotto, Georgia Tech (6-3, 310)
8. Mike Jones, Iowa (6-5, 302)
9. Jake Kuresa, Brigham Young (6-4, 330)
10. George Batiste, Southern Miss (6-5, 300)

[C.P. Dymeck is a writer for ffLiveWire.com and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers of America. You can contact him at pete_dymeck04@yahoo.com]

The NFL Draft Live Wire 12/30/06

Anyone else dreaming of Hawaiian sunshine? Well, the NFL is. In a surprising turn of events, record breaking NCAA quarterback, Colt Brennan, from the University of Hawaii, has received a first round projection from the NFL's Draft Advisory Board. Brennan completed the best statistical season in NCAA history this year with his efficient passing. I had him ranked in the 15-20 range of the quarterbacks, but obviously I was way off. I do base a nice portion of my projections off of the NFL Draft Advisory Board's projections, as they are in the "know," but I am really surprised with this one. Of course, the Board has not always been right but I didn't think this kid had a chance to get drafted if he declared.

Here is the twist; If Brennan returns for his senior season at Hawaii, he is expected to be Darren McFadden's (Arkansas) main competition for the Heisman Trophy and the 2008 first overall selection. I am concerned with the transition he will have to make from a run-and-shoot passer to a conventional signal caller. He is considered a great leader though. He will definitely make a splash in my positional rankings as I was scouting and digging for information when I came across this breaking news about Colt Brennan. At 6-3, 190 lbs., he will need to bulk up a little as he doesn't want to enter the league like Ken Dorsey did several years back. He has single-handedly shook up my draft board.

Also, I have an Adarius Bowman update. He will return for his senior season at Oklahoma State. Bowman will be expected to be a first or second round selection in next year's draft.

Before I wrap up this edition, expect to see LaMarr Woodley (LB, Michigan), Glenn Dorsey (DT, Louisiana State), and Marcus Thomas (DT, Florida) to start shooting up draft boards.

The Latest Mock...

1. Detroit Lions - RB Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma (6-2, 218) Adrian Peterson will resolve any doubt about the seriousness of Kevin Jones lis franc injury. This is Matt Millen's last chance to actually have a good draft. Peterson is the safest pick as he has no serious injury history and could impact this offense from the first time the whistle blows week 1 in 2007.
2. Oakland Raiders - OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin (6-8, 313) If Art Shell does return, he knows that he has the reigns and needs to build an offensive line first. Their defense is top-notch but the offense is bad and Joe Thomas would be a nice foundation to build upon and could actually affect Robert Gallery's play if he shuffles the line around. Thomas' two knee surgeries concern me though.
3. Cleveland Browns - QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame (6-4, 227) With a quarterback controversy right around the corner, Quinn, with the Belichick-Weiss-Crennel connection, will be a nice compliment to a franchise looking for its first franchise quarterback since Bernie Kosar. Cleveland has a lot of holes but will not pass up on this situation. Quinn will also fill the seats in Cleveland.
4. Tampa Bay Bucs - DE Gaines Adams, Clemson (6-5, 260) Simeon Rice probably played his last game for Tampa Bay and they will need a true, young pass rusher to rebuild this defense around.
5. Arizona Cardinals - CB Leon Hall, Michigan (5-11, 194) There is little depth at cornerback for the Cardinals. They can't pass on the best defensive back in the draft, even if he isn't a safety. Leon Hall has also drawn comparisons to Champ Bailey.
6. Houston Texans - QB JaMarcus Russell, Louisiana State (6-6, 260) David Carr will be shown the door, probably a year too late, but with him leaving, the big boy Russell will step in and his connections to the Houston area through Hurricane Katrina provide Texans' fans with a glimpse of hope for the future.
7. Washington Redskins - WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech (6-5, 235) Dan Snyder will finally get a go-to receiver for his young quarterback Jason Campbell. While the Redskins' needa viable second option, Johnson could fill in as the first option and make the trade for Brandon Lloyd look like the nonsense it was.
8. Minnesota Vikings - WR Dwayne Jarrett, Southern Cal (6-5, 210) - If Jarrett comes out, the Vikings will not pass on him, but if he stays in school, they will take Sidney Rice here. With no true first or second option at the wide-out position, Tarvaris Jackson needs someone that he knows he can depend on.
9. San Francisco 49ers - DT Alan Branch, Michigan (6-6, 331) The 49ers do not have any impact defensive lineman after the aging Bryant Young. Branch's stock continues to soar as he is the best inside pass rusher and run defender in this draft.
10. Miami Dolphins - CB Daymeion Hughes, California (6-2, 188) Miami's secondary showed signs of hope this year, but at other times, they were picked apart by a signal caller named J.P. Losman. Hughes is a true corner that focuses on the coverage rather than the highlight reel. He has great hands and won't have a problem snatching interceptions.
11. St. Louis Rams - OLB Paul Posluszny, Penn State (6-2, 238) The Rams haven't had an impact linebacker for a while now. With no true starters in this corps, I look for the Rams to build this group up with Posluszny and possibly another linebacker in round 3 or 4.
12. Atlanta Falcons - DT Amobi Okoye, Louisville (6-1, 317) Grady Jackson is ancient and the other two tackles that you can name are overrated. This line has the potential to be a great one and the young Okoye will give it some character.
13. Carolina Panthers - QB Troy Smith, Ohio State (6-1, 215) Even Romeo Crennel said that height doesn't determine how good a quarterback can be. Drew Brees and Tarvaris Jackson are two recent starting quarterbacks that were knocked for their height. Jake Delhomme is all but gone and Smith will get the chance to connect with Steve Smith on an everyday basis.
14. Green Bay Packers - RB Marshawn Lynch, California (5-11, 217) Ahman Green is most likely a goner, and you know with Vernand Morency and Noah Herron, that the Packers will look for their next franchise running back. Lynch is a monster and will fill this void effectively.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Levi Brown, PennState (6-5, 328) There is no question about this call here. With age and turmoil on this offensive line, the Rooney's need someone to protect their franchise quarterback. Look no further than this backyard hero.
16. New York Giants - CB Darrelle Revis, Pittsburgh (6-0, 200) The Giants have plenty of holes to fill but if they want to compete against the other teams in the NFC, they will need a cornerback to check ball with the likes of Terry Glenn, Reggie Brown, Donte Stallworth, and Santana Moss.
17. Buffalo Bills - WR Sidney Rice, South Carolina (6-4, 202) Buffalo looks like they do have their franchise quarterback but he has only one true option to look for downfield. The Bills do not have many holes really, and may be on the verge of turning the corner as a franchise. If they could grab this mutant wide receiver, they should extend McGahee's contract immediately because they will wreak havoc for years in the AFC East.
18. New England Patriots (from Seattle) - ILB Patrick Willis, Ole Miss (6-2, 240) The linebackers in Foxboro are aging and Belichick will look for a classy, humble team orientated player to be the next in line.
19. Kansas City Chiefs - WR Ted Ginn, Jr., Ohio State (6-0, 180) Eddie Kennison is getting up their in years and Samie Parker is all but gone. The Chiefs haven't had a legitimate threat at wide out since Sly Morris' rookie year. Ginn has also talked about playing corner back as well. Since he can return kicks, is he the next Deion Sanders or Tyrone Calico?
20. Jacksonville Jaguars - OLB Earl Everett, Florida (6-3, 234) Clint Ingram needs someone to push him and Mike Peterson is starting to get gray hair and wrinkles. Everett is an impact pass rusher that is solid in zone coverage.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - DT Quinn Pitcock, Ohio State (6-3, 295) The Bengals have a lot of holes to fill and they need to start bringing in guys without character issues. Pitcock is a Buckeye and a class act that is strong in run defense.
22. Tennessee Titans - DE Quentin Moses, Georgia (6-5, 257) The defensive line needs a young anchor. Albert Haynesworth won't be back after his accolades and Kyle Vanden Bosch is hurt more than he is healthy.
23. Dallas Cowboys - S LaRon Landry, Louisiana State (6-2, 202) Dallas needs a safety that can do more than just make a big hit. They need one that can cover and help efficiently in run defense. Landry is a freak at safety but is regarded as a mutant because he covers like a corner.
24. New York Jets - CB Aaron Ross, Texas (6-1, 192) Justin Miller was a pleasant surprise but this secondary is still very vulnerable. Ross is one of the more renown cornerbacks and will immediately play a role in turning this secondary around.
25. Philadelphia Eagles - DE Victor Abiamiri, Notre Dame (6-4, 270) With Kearse's injury history and the inconsistencies of Darren Howard, the Eagles will look for another young end to compliment sack master Trent Cole.
26. Denver Broncos - S Reggie Nelson, Florida (6-1, 193) Denver does not need much but they could draft a safety to eventually replace John Lynch. Nelson is a good safety that really never received the respect he deserved in the fast paced SEC.
27. New Orleans Saints - DT Frank Okam, Texas (6-5, 315) The Saints have had trouble getting pressure from up the middle. Okam is a big boy that has quick hands and feet. He shouldn't have a problem penetrating in spite of his size.
28. New England Patriots - S Tom Zbikowski, Notre Dame (6-0, 210) It is no secret that Rodney Harrison is getting old and hurt more often. Zbikowski has great character and fortitude. His presence would automatically be felt in this locker room as well.
29. Indianapolis Colts - I/OLB H.B. Blades, Pittsburgh (6-0, 240) Cato June is probably playing his last season as a Colt and after him, their isn't any depth. This linebacker's corps' play was horrid this year. Blades is a versatile linebacker that cruises in zone coverage.
30. Baltimore Ravens - OLB Rufus Alexander, Oklahoma (6-1, 230) With Adalius Thomas on his way out, the Ravens will look to replace him and some talented depth. Alexander is a strong linebacker that reminds me of Thomas as he has played safety before, but in high school.
31. Chicago Bears - OT Arron Sears, Tennessee (6-4, 320) The line is getting old and could use some valuable depth. This may not be the most pressing need but Chicago doesn't really have many pressing needs after injuries.
32. San Diego Chargers - ILB Buster Davis, Florida State (5-10, 240) I said it once, I will say it again. This pick makes perfect sense. Edwards and Godfrey are getting old and the Chargers will look for a young prospect to replace either of them eventually.

33. Detroit Lions - OT Joe Staley, Central Michigan (6-5, 300)

34. Oakland Raiders - OG Justin Blalock, Texas (6-4, 329)

35. Cleveland Browns - DT DeMarcus Tyler, North Carolina State (6-2, 305)

36. Tampa Bay Bucs - WR Dwayne Bowe, Louisiana State (6-3, 218)

37. Arizona Cardinals - OT Sam Baker, Southern Cal (6-5, 305)

38. Houston Texans - S Michael Griffin, Texas (6-0, 205)

39. New York Jets (from Washington) - DE Adam Carriker, Nebraska (6-6, 295)

40. Minnesota Vikings - CB Antoine Cason, Arizona (6-0, 182)

41. San Francisco 49ers - WR Steve Smith, Southern Cal (6-0, 195)

42. Miami Dolphins - OLB Juwan Simpson, Alabama (6-3, 222)

43. St. Louis Rams - DT Brandon Mebane, California (6-3, 295)

44. Atlanta Falcons - CB Tanard Jackson, Syracuse (6-1, 193)

45. Carolina Panthers - TE Zach Miller, Arizona State (6-5, 259)

46. Green Bay Packers - CB Marcus McCauley, Fresno State (6-1, 205)

47. Pittsburgh Steelers - OLB Stewart Bradley, Nebraska (6-4, 250)

48. New York Giants - RB Antonio Pittman, Ohio State (5-11, 195)

49. Buffalo Bills - OT Ryan Harris, Notre Dame (6-5, 292)

50. Seattle Seahawks - S John Wendling, Wyoming (6-1, 222)

51. Kansas City Chiefs - DT Justin Harrell, Tennessee (6-4, 300)

52. Jacksonville Jaguars - OG Ben Grubbs, Auburn (6-3, 318)

53. Cincinnati Bengals - S Eric Weddle, Utah (6-0, 200)

54. Tennessee Titans - TE Greg Olsen, Miami, Fl. (6-5, 252)

55. Dallas Cowboys - OT Jake Long, Michigan (6-7, 313)

56. New York Jets - RB Tony Hunt, Penn State (6-2, 230)

57. Philadelphia Eagles - S Brandon Meriweather, Miami, Fl. (6-0, 195)

58. Denver Broncos - RB Kenny Irons, Auburn (5-11, 200)

59. New Orleans Saints - CB Fred Bennett, South Carolina (6-1, 198)

60. New England Patriots - WR Jeff Samardzija, Notre Dame (6-5, 218)

61. Indianapolis Colts - DT Marcus Thomas, Florida (6-3, 296)

62. Baltimore Ravens - QB Brian Brohm, Louisville (6-4, 224)

63. Chicago Bears - DT Kareem Brown, Miami, Fl. (6-5, 315)

64. San Diego Chargers - WR Rhema McKnight, Notre Dame (6-2, 212)

The NFL Draft Live Wire 12/29/06

Despite the rumors that Michael Bush is behind in his rehabilitation from a broken leg this past summer, the standout running back was working out lightly with his strength and conditioning coach while Louisville prepped for the Orange Bowl. As far as his attempt to enter the draft, head coach Bobby Petrino said that they are in contact with the NFL to see where he would go as of now. Bush has until January 15th to declare or he will be back in Louisville as a medical redshirt. In my opinion, Bush will not get a very high grade until he can prove he can plant and shift on his foot while running at 100%. It would be a drastic mistake if he declared for the 2007 NFL Draft.

Courtney Taylor, a prime wide receiver prospect from Auburn, will play in the 2007 Senior Bowl. I wasn't quite sure he made enough noise to inherit such an invitation and can project him as a round 5 or later pick.

Beware of the "Fearsome Foursome." Calvin Johnson, Sidney Rice, Ted Ginn Jr., and Dwayne Jarrett will be making a splash in an NFL city near you. This could be the deepest group of talented wide receivers the NFL Draft has ever seen.

Aside from the "Fearsome Foursome" and Adarius Bowman, another underclassman that is starting to make waves for himself, Robert Meachem from Tennessee is weighing his option for the NFL Draft. Meachem stood out among all wide-outs in 2006 with 1,265 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has great character and was raised on a farm as a kid. He works hard but won't blind you with lightning speed. If he does declare, I project him to be a first day prospect.

In a situation that I am following closely, Dan Connor, a junior linebacker from Penn State, was told to stay for his senior season by an NFL executive. Some critics think that Connor had a better season than teammate Paul Posluszny. Dan Connor was also told that if he returns for a senior season, he could land as a top ten pick in the 2008 NFL Draft. Stay in school kid.

Also, I have been keeping my eye on Maryland quarterback Sam Hollenbach. He is starting to creep up my draft board. At 6-4, 214 lbs, I have read a ton of good things on this kid but he throws to many picks in gun-slinging fashion. I am currently trying to get some video footage of this kid.

Before I wrap this up, junior Lawrence Timmons from Florida State has declared for the NFL Draft making the total number of underclassmen to declare at 7 for now.

2006 Fantasy Rewind

WARNING --- This commentary is not for those that are fruitful in their avoidance of honesty.

"He broke the plane of the goal line! Frank Gore does it again, his second score of the day, Holey Moley!"

That's what it sounded like week 1 when Mike Nolan took the leash off of Frank Gore and he scored two touchdowns against the Cardinals while amassing 170 total yards. Was this a sign of things to come or just a one week hit or miss experience? If you were on my side of the field, you expected this from Frank Gore. If not, this was a pleasant surprise. Well, nonetheless, Frank Gore has went on to win championships for many owners as he totaled 1,995 yards and reached paydirt 9 times in 16 weeks. Frank Gore had an average draft position in the fourth round, but performed like a top five selection. He showed no ill-effects from two shoulder surgeries in the off-season also. He erased any doubt that anyone could have had on what he could do behind that average offensive line. With that said, Frank Gore has won my Fantasy Stud of the Year Award for 2006.

Yeah, yeah, why does Frank Gore get it but LaDainian Tomlinson, Larry Johnson, or Drew Brees don't get it? Tomlinson and Johnson were expected to put up the numbers they did. That's why they were drafted in the top three of every fantasy draft in the world. As for Drew Brees, he didn't get it because he likely cost many owners their league championships with piss-poor performances weeks 15 and 16.

As for some of the other players that I was high on that delivered, Lee Evans, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Kellen Winslow delivered week in and week out. As for Dominic Rhodes, Reuben Droughns, Randy Moss, and DeAngelo Williams, the outlook for these three wasn't as good as it did in the preseason. I made some good calls on the Dolphins trio, Culpepper, Brown and Chambers, as well as Cedric Benson and Willie Parker (on the road). I made some bold weekly calls, including a near perfect call on a horrid Chad Johnson performance, only to miss the next week with Ocho Cinco. Overall, I am satisfied with the product that I delivered to you, the fan, the reader, and the critic.

As for disappointments, I will not mention Daunte Culpepper, as I had him ranked #21 overall in my final projections. Clinton Portis, due to injuries, was a huge disappointment. I thought that he had the potential to finish as a top three running back this season. Ladell Betts worked his way in and made Portis look like an afterthought. Antonio Bryant was a huge disappointment for me. After becoming only the fifth wide receiver in Browns history to eclipse 1,000 yards receiving, I thought that the Bryant to San Francisco would prove to be a steal. Even though I didn't put him in my final top ten projections, I did believe he would finish as a top ten receiver at the end of the year. Wow, what a miss on that one.

I am also disappointed in Domanick Davis and his degenerative knee. From 2003 to 2005, Davis was fifth in total yardage among all, I am serious, all running backs that had started a minimum of 11 games. The potential he once hosted was tremendous.

Within the last few years, guys like Lee Suggs, Drew Bennett, and Samkon Gado have become late season fantasy legends. Ron Dayne has just joined the huddle. Yes, I did say that the wheels to his bandwagon where flat and the gears were stuck in neutral. What do you know? He made me eat my words with a 153 yard and 2 touchdown performance.

Back in August, a roster that consisted of Donovan McNabb, Carnell Williams, Edgerrin James, Randy Moss, Santana Moss, Chris Chambers and Heath Miller would have been deemed unstoppable, loaded, or even perfect. 16 weeks later, a team that consisted of Michael Vick, Travis Henry, Ahman Green, Laveraneus Coles, Joey Galloway, and Desmond Clark would have a better shot at winning a league championship than the aforementioned roster.

If you think that injuries cost you any chance at winning your league championship, try fielding a competitive team with DeShaun Foster, Donte Stallworth, Greg Jennings, and Matt Hasselbeck. Due to injuries, my roster had more drops than Terrell Owens. Who would have thought I would need to depend on Brett Favre, Dominic Rhodes, and Mike Furrey to make my playoff push.

Negativity is a lot easier to focus on than the positive things that may have occurred in 2006. As for the positive, let me begin with the rebirth of Ahman Green, Fred Taylor, and Travis Henry. We also can't downplay the emergence of Vince Young, into a rare, rookie stud in fantasy football. Jeff Garcia, Tony Romo, Jay Cutler, and J.P. Losman emerged into solid #2 fantasy quarterbacks that could be depended on depending on the match-up. Andre Johnson re-emerged into the all pro, fantasy stud wide receiver he is. Kellen Winslow finally delivered and Carson Palmer made a miraculous comeback. The true, sincere story of 2006 was the emergence of the New Orleans as a fantasy powerhouse. When healthy, Joe Horn was a good start. When he wasn't, you could count on either Devery Henderson or Terrance Copper. As usual, Reggie Bush, Deuce McAllister, and Marques Colston were good, if not great starts week in and week out. Drew Brees, well, there are not enough words to describe his turn around into a top 2 fantasy quarterback. There is no better way in ending this 2006 fantasy rewind in mentioning the New Orleans Saints.

Drew Brees also was the steal of the century.

Oh before I do go let me leave on an interesting note. Of the participants from the Philip Rivers-Eli Manning draft day trade, Eli Manning is the only one not going to the 2006 NFL Pro Bowl. Shawn Merriman, Nate Kaeding, and Rivers himself will all be on vacation in Hawaii for the pro football all-star game. Now, you tell me, who is the winner in that one? If I mention the records of the two franchises involved in the trade, that is just like smearing one's head in defecation.

God bless, as things can only get better in 2007. Have a Happy New Year.

The NFL Draft Live Wire 12/23/06

Stop the presses! In one major surprise move, Ohio State Buckeye tailback Antonio Pittman has filed papers to forego his final season of NCAA eligibility and enter the 2007 NFL Draft! Pittman is among some of the elite Buckeye running backs as he ran for more than 1,000 yards in consecutive seasons. Only four other running backs have ever done such a thing, two time Heisman Trophy winner Archie Griffin, Tim Spencer, Keith Byars, and Eddie George. This move certainly shakes up the running back draft board as I will project Pittman to leap Kenny Irons and Tony Hunt and land at #3, behind Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch, two underclassmen that have yet to declare.

In another satisfying move, we can expect this year's tight end class to be bolstered with the addition of junior Greg Olsen from the University of Miami, Florida. Olsen is expected to declare for the NFL draft and bypass his senior season. Next to junior Zach Miller (Arizona State) and senior Clark Harris (Rutgers), there is not much depth at this position. Olsen is a solid blocked who has disappointed in a porous passing game in Miami. He would fill in nicely for a club that is or will be in need of a contributing, pass catching tight end, like Detroit, Carolina, Cincinnati or Philadelphia.

These two news breaking decisions is all I have to offer for you today. Have a Merry Christmas everyone.

Build or Destroy: FB Brian Leonard

If a team is looking for a hard-nosed athlete, they should look no further than Brian Leonard of Rutgers. Leonard is the offensive version of Paul Posluszny, his build does not fit the mold but somehow through strength and intangibles, he gets the job done. Leonard will be looked at as a fullback, but is more of a 'tweener and will be considered for some spotty halfback roles.

There are a lot of good things you can get from a guy like this. He has already been compared to Reuben Droughns, a fullback turned halfback that has excelled on the next level. Leonard has the type of instincts that most back's would kill for, and his balance makes him hard to bring down. He will be a weapon in any passing game, as he has great hands, can run after the catch effectively, and will be hard to bring down. Leonard plays with extreme unselfishness and could be a secret weapon on whatever team drafts him.

The biggest knock on Leonard is his blocking. He will need to work on that, especially in picking up the blitz. He is nothing like Mike Alstott, even though people have been comparing these two. Leonard isn't very quick, won't turn a corner, and won't break away from defenders.

Brian Leonard is the face of the Rutgers football program and has helped put them back on track. He will definitely go on the first day, so I will grade him as a mid to late second rounder. He could help out a team like the 49ers, Jets, or Cardinals. He could eventually evolve into an h-back like Chris Cooley.

For fantasy purposes, he will get drafted somewhere in your league's dynasty draft, but it will all depend on which NFL teams snatches him on draft day. His fantasy upside is nowhere near his upside on the football field as he won't post great numbers but will have a tremendous impact on the other 10 guys around him.

Build or Destroy: RB Kenny Irons

Kenny Irons started the season as one of the most anticipated senior tailbacks in the nation. Since then, his numbers have trickled to mediocrity as he has looked like just another average tailback in a running back friendly system. He has only 821 rushing yards in 11 games and has reached paydirt just four times. He has scored only one touchdown since October 7th and has topped 100 yards just three times this season. His senior campaign has been marred with some health concerns and hasn't been nearly as impressive as his junior season.

Forgive me if I am not sold, but Kenny Irons reminds me a bit of Kay Jay Harris with a little better field vision. Irons is a solid back with quick moves but is patient-minded. He can break away from defenders at times and is good at changing pace as well as juking linemen out of their shoes. I have seen Irons get every single yard he can on every carry this year as well. Lastly, he is from a school that breeds NFL-quality running backs and does not have too many miles on his tires.

His value has been steadily decreasing with the emergence of Tony Hunt and underclassman Marshawn Lynch. Irons will see his value take a hit at the combine because he does not have great timed speed, according to some accounts. He is also not dependable as a receiving back, something NFL scouts might stray from. He has been hurt a lot in 2006 as well. Personally, I think Irons will need coached up because he doesn't break a lot of tackles but likes to take on the physical contact, something will have to give.

Irons was a South Carolina transfer and hasn't lived up to the hype this season. Some of the more renown running backs have come from Auburn, most notably Bo Jackson, Stephen Davis, and Rudi Johnson, as well as Ronnie Brown and Carnell Williams. With such a history as that, I expect Irons to go much higher than he really should. Right now he is looking at the second round, but in all actuality, I think Irons is a good second day pick. He will not blow the doors off of anything and needs a lot of grooming in order to be a starter in the NFL.

For fantasy purposes, he will be a first round dynasty draft pick, but results may never come to form.

Introducing the Game Day Blunder, Ron Dayne

Let me introduce to you, the Game Day Blunder, Ron Dayne.

Ron Dayne's career is like a horror flick with a bad ending. No matter how appealing the previews look, you know you will be disappointed in the end. His presence leaves a stink that no one will forget, not even the desirous Daunte Culpepper owners of 2006. Before I go into any detail, I first must ask you, are you completely sane enough to put your fantasy football season on the line with Ron Dayne in your starting lineup? If you answered yes, I might just disappoint you in this column.

Dayne is remarkably, I repeat remarkably, averaging 92 yards and 1 touchdown a game over the last three weekends. Ron Dayne has essentially pushed Wali Lundy out of the running back by committee in Houston. In the 9 games he has played in, Dayne is averaging only 51 yards a game. He has also only scored three, count them up, three touchdowns all season, all within the last two weeks.

This is too good to be true!

Ron Dayne, the fantasy championship catalyst extraordinaire!

Let me flush the toilet before I stink the joint up.

Houston faces the worst run defense in the National Football League this week. Ron Dayne will start. Rookie Chris Taylor will back him up. Wali Lundy is expected to be active as well. Now, let's get back to Chris Taylor. Taylor has his own little "from rags to riches" story as well. We have been anticipating a Chris Taylor appearance since a December 1st article claiming that "Chris Taylor is coming." The same Chris Taylor that was cut from the roster September 12th. The Houston front office would like to see what they have in this kid before they head into the off-season and target a premiere running back in the NFL Draft. From getting signed to the practice squad, to getting cut, re-signed, and now looking forward to 6-10 carries against a horrible run defense (if not more), Chris Taylor is the curveball fantasy football geeks don't like to see.

Now, let's jump on to how Chris Taylor/Colts run defense/Rosenfels should be expected to effect Ron Dayne's numbers Sunday. As for Indianapolis, I expect a game plan similar to the one they used against Cincinnati. Jump up early on Houston, force the Texans into a one-stride, pass first offense, and blitz with the defensive ends early and often to put pressure on David Carr or Sage Rosenfels. What this will result in is a limited number of carries for any running back for Houston. You can easily say that head coach Gary Kubiak will stick to his stubborn game plan to see what his running backs can bring to the table, but I think too much pressure will be on him to display Rosenfels' skills. Yes, this is off-topic, but I do think Carr will get benched at some point this Sunday.

Chris Taylor will steal 6-10 carries, Ron Dayne will be strained in a way that Rudi Johnson was strained last week. I am projecting a 15 carry, 63 yard performance for Ron Dayne, but I do not expect him to reach the end zone. In most leagues, that is only 6.3 fantasy points.

You can make a blunder in fantasy football, and still get by, but blunders are inexcusable in fantasy championships. The fact is, that if you made it to your league's Fantasy Super Bowl, your team must be pretty darn good. I know for a fact that no one rode Ron Dayne to this point of the season. I have been lurking on some message boards other than ffLiveWire's, and seen some bold projections from a bandwagon that everyone is jumping on. 160+ rushing yards and multiple touchdowns?! No way Jose. That bandwagon has four flats and is stuck in neutral as far as I am concerned.

The last time Ron Dayne faced the Colts, he carried the rock 11 times and didn't reach 40 yards. He should surpass that mark this week, but not by much, and not enough for you to win your championship. Don't expect more than 6.3 fantasy points in a standard scoring system, like I said previously. 15 carries for 63 yards and no scores or turnovers is in the game plan for Ron Dayne this week.

The NFL Draft Live Wire 12/20/06

The NFL Draft Live Wire will keep you updated with all the news and tidbits concerning the 2007 NFL Draft and its prospects. I will do my best to keep all of my readers up to date on underclassmen declarees, all-star game invites, injuries, and whatever else that will have an impact on the draft.

So far, some notable players have accepted invites to play in this year's Senior Bowl. The Senior Bowl is noted as being the top all-star game for prospects to get invited to. Some of the players that have accepted an invitation are Tyler Palko (QB, Pittsburgh), Tony Hunt (RB, Penn State), Clark Harris (TE, Rutgers), Jason Hill (WR, Washington State), Samson Satele (OL, Hawaii), Quentin Moses (DE, Georgia), Patrick Willis (LB, Ole Miss), and Tom Zbikowski (S, Notre Dame). For a complete list of the invites, please visit the official website for the 2007 Senior Bowl.

Junior Clemson cornerback C.J. Gaddis may declare for the NFL Draft. He will make his decision based on Mel Kiper's rankings. Gaddis is a defensive back that came to Clemson to play quarterback. He is very versatile and made a splash with his raw talent. Like I said, he has some raw potential and will need groomed at the defensive back position, but is one of the better prospects at kick returner in this draft. Last year, Devin Hester was selected in the second round to be a kick returner and that selection may have helped change the landscape for athletes like C.J. Gaddis.

Speaking of underclassmen, as well as scouting reports, click here for the exclusive news and reports direct from ffLiveWire.com. That is all you will need if you want to either Build or Destroy! I will keep a current list of underclassmen that have declared as well.

Junior California Golden Bear running back, Marshawn Lynch, is weighing his options for the NFL Draft. He does have until January 15th to declare but some people are speculating that the Holiday Bowl will be his last game under head coach Jeff Tedford. According to Carl Steward from InsideBayArea.com, Lynch has drawn comparisons to of all running backs, LaDainian Tomlinson. I currently have Lynch projected to go in the middle of the first round, if he declares but his stock continues to soar. By December 29th, his stock could be close to Adrian Peterson's, and this is as a top 8 selection.

Cory Boyd, junior tailback from South Carolina, may declare, and mutant, stud receiver Sidney Rice's decision will have a large effect on whether or not Boyd declares or not.

Before I wrap this up for today, keep an eye on Sedale Threatt. Threatt is a quick moving quarterback that resembles Michael Vick. He is a junior quarterback from Lehigh and could come in as a late round pick but see some playing time as a rookie like Michael Robinson.

Game Day Wonders: Championship Week

Well, what a year it was, or wasn't for many of you fantasy geeks out there. With the championship week upon us, I introduce to you the final Game Day Wonders column of the 2006 season. I have provided you with some great insight that has stuck all year long, including the efficiency of the Miami run defense, Willie Parker's road game worries, and the up and down inconsistencies of L.J. Smith and Reggie Brown. Even though I have hit on more plays than I have missed, I did fall flat on my face with some DeShaun Foster projections, and Ladell Betts projections. Regardless, I think you have been very satisfied with this insight and I hate to bring it to an end, but you know what they say, all good things do come to an end. Now, on to the Hot List, Cold List, and my Silent but Deadly call!

The Hot List

• I have really strayed from pimping any defenses in the Game Day Wonders this year, but this week I would take a look at starting the Green Bay Packers defense and special teams. They take on a Minnesota Vikings offense that will be starting a rookie signal caller, Tarvaris Jackson. Green Bay's pass defense isn't the greatest, but Al Harris is one of the best playmakers on the defensive side of the ball. I also think that Chester Taylor will get loaded upon from the onset and struggle in accumulating meaningful yards. Green Bay is only allowing 4.1 yards per carry, and has given up only 6 long runs of 20 yards or more this season. Statistically-speaking, the Packers defense actually seems like a smarter play than the Jacksonville, Denver, and Minnesota defensive units. If you have a favorable point scoring system for D/ST's, start this Packers unit and ride them out for a championship. I am expecting the Packers to limit Minnesota to 220 total yards, grab 2 interceptions, 0 fumble recoveries, and 5, count them, 5 sacks this week.
• Some people may have the option of sitting or starting Willis McGahee this week. Well, let me tell you this, he is a must start this week. The Tennessee Titans defense will disappoint this week. Buffalo is 5-2 in their last seven games, quietly putting doubters to sleep, and McGahee is back running on all fours, well, so-to speak. The Titans' defense is allowing 145.3 yards per game to opposing running backs. McGahee has four touchdowns in his last four games and has averaged 102 yards per outing the last two weeks. Pound for pound, McGahee will produce like a higher end tier 2 running back this week, as he rushes for 127 yards, 1touchdown, and snags 4 pigskins for 39 yards.
• If any week is a good week to start Edgerrin James, it would be this week. San Francisco is ranked 31^st in touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs. The 49ers defense has stepped it up recently, and I do think Edgerrin James yardage may be a bit limited, but James should reach the end zone this week. If you are in your championship, and need help at the running back position but don't think you can count on James this week, I hope to steer you in the direction of this former Colt. James has scored in each of his last two games. San Francisco is also ranked 23^rd in first downs allowed by running backs. I expect James to get the rock 30 or more times this week, the first time since week 6. Also, a 74 yard performance to go along with one score can be expected this week from a one-time stud. Those days seem to be long gone but some memories may be rejuvenated this Sunday.

The Cold List

• Fault me if I am wrong on this one, but Eli Manning should not be depended on to win any championships this week. New Orleans is ranked 5^th against the pass, and should get up early on the Giants in a week where a Drew Brees-rebound should be more than expected. The Saints are also ranked 3^rd in completion percentage. Eli Manning looks like a lost puppy at times, and has had only 3 or 4 good fantasy football weeks all season. Don't depend on him for all the glory! Don't count on anything more than 210 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions from Manning this week.
• The Weapons of Grass Destruction should be grounded this week. Corey Dillon and Laurence Maroney will face a true test of identity when they try to break the concrete front seven of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags' are allowing only 3.4 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Of course, Maroney is once again a huge question mark for this week and with the injury report coming out Wednesday. Regardless, do not expect fantasy champion numbers from either back this week. With Kevin Faulk's status to be uncertain, and knowing how the front office in Foxboro deals with injuries, steer clear of any Patriot running back this week.
• Chris Chambers has disappointed owners week in and week out yet he is such an intriguing play, his upside keeps him in the starting lineup. Aside from his big performance two weeks ago, Chambers has only averaged 33 yards per game in seven of his last 8 outings. If you need someone else to convince you to bench Chambers, it is I. Chambers was a monster down the stretch in 2005, helping to win many fantasy titles, but this year, he is doing nothing but helping you lose them. Yes, sit Chris Chambers. You can breathe easier if you do. Expect nothing more than just 3 receptions for 27 yards. Daunte Culpepper couldn't find him, Joey Harrington couldn't find him, and Cleo Lemon won't find him. Don't inadvertently put your championship hopes in the hands of any Dolphin quarterback!

Silent but Deadly

• If you are finding yourself in your league championship with what you honestly can say is an average fantasy squad, and have the likes of Arnaz Battle on your roster, there is no way you can bench Battle and his upside this week, especially in a PPR league. Arizona is second in yards per reception allowed this year, giving up nearly 13 yards a catch to opposing wide receivers. We have seen Arnaz Battle grow into a trustworthy relationship with signal caller Alex Smith and I expect Smith to look for Battle early and often. Arizona is also only one of 7 teams to allow ten or more receptions of 40 yards or more. Battle is not known as the ultimate deep threat, like say Bernard Berrian of Chicago, but he does have the ability to grab the long ball. I am expecting a good, productive day for Battle as he posts 5 receptions, 98 yards, 1 touchdown.

Need more Info about anything Fantasy Football related? What about the upcoming NFL Draft? Get over to www.fflivewire.com and you will find everything that you need! Register on the forums and get to know a very knowledgeable and friendly community.

Game Day Wonders: Championship Week

Well, what a year it was, or wasn't for many of you fantasy geeks out there. With the championship week upon us, I introduce to you the final Game Day Wonders column of the 2006 season. I have provided you with some great insight that has stuck all year long, including the efficiency of the Miami run defense, Willie Parker's road game worries, and the up and down inconsistencies of L.J. Smith and Reggie Brown. Even though I have hit on more plays than I have missed, I did fall flat on my face with some DeShaun Foster projections, and Ladell Betts projections. Regardless, I think you have been very satisfied with this insight and I hate to bring it to an end, but you know what they say, all good things do come to an end. Now, on to the Hot List, Cold List, and my Silent but Deadly call!

The Hot List

• I have really strayed from pimping any defenses in the Game Day Wonders this year, but this week I would take a look at starting the Green Bay Packers defense and special teams. They take on a Minnesota Vikings offense that will be starting a rookie signal caller, Tarvaris Jackson. Green Bay's pass defense isn't the greatest, but Al Harris is one of the best playmakers on the defensive side of the ball. I also think that Chester Taylor will get loaded upon from the onset and struggle in accumulating meaningful yards. Green Bay is only allowing 4.1 yards per carry, and has given up only 6 long runs of 20 yards or more this season. Statistically-speaking, the Packers defense actually seems like a smarter play than the Jacksonville, Denver, and Minnesota defensive units. If you have a favorable point scoring system for D/ST's, start this Packers unit and ride them out for a championship. I am expecting the Packers to limit Minnesota to 220 total yards, grab 2 interceptions, 0 fumble recoveries, and 5, count them, 5 sacks this week.
• Some people may have the option of sitting or starting Willis McGahee this week. Well, let me tell you this, he is a must start this week. The Tennessee Titans defense will disappoint this week. Buffalo is 5-2 in their last seven games, quietly putting doubters to sleep, and McGahee is back running on all fours, well, so-to speak. The Titans' defense is allowing 145.3 yards per game to opposing running backs. McGahee has four touchdowns in his last four games and has averaged 102 yards per outing the last two weeks. Pound for pound, McGahee will produce like a higher end tier 2 running back this week, as he rushes for 127 yards, 1touchdown, and snags 4 pigskins for 39 yards.
• If any week is a good week to start Edgerrin James, it would be this week. San Francisco is ranked 31^st in touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs. The 49ers defense has stepped it up recently, and I do think Edgerrin James yardage may be a bit limited, but James should reach the end zone this week. If you are in your championship, and need help at the running back position but don't think you can count on James this week, I hope to steer you in the direction of this former Colt. James has scored in each of his last two games. San Francisco is also ranked 23^rd in first downs allowed by running backs. I expect James to get the rock 30 or more times this week, the first time since week 6. Also, a 74 yard performance to go along with one score can be expected this week from a one-time stud. Those days seem to be long gone but some memories may be rejuvenated this Sunday.

The Cold List

• Fault me if I am wrong on this one, but Eli Manning should not be depended on to win any championships this week. New Orleans is ranked 5^th against the pass, and should get up early on the Giants in a week where a Drew Brees-rebound should be more than expected. The Saints are also ranked 3^rd in completion percentage. Eli Manning looks like a lost puppy at times, and has had only 3 or 4 good fantasy football weeks all season. Don't depend on him for all the glory! Don't count on anything more than 210 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions from Manning this week.
• The Weapons of Grass Destruction should be grounded this week. Corey Dillon and Laurence Maroney will face a true test of identity when they try to break the concrete front seven of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags' are allowing only 3.4 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Of course, Maroney is once again a huge question mark for this week and with the injury report coming out Wednesday. Regardless, do not expect fantasy champion numbers from either back this week. With Kevin Faulk's status to be uncertain, and knowing how the front office in Foxboro deals with injuries, steer clear of any Patriot running back this week.
• Chris Chambers has disappointed owners week in and week out yet he is such an intriguing play, his upside keeps him in the starting lineup. Aside from his big performance two weeks ago, Chambers has only averaged 33 yards per game in seven of his last 8 outings. If you need someone else to convince you to bench Chambers, it is I. Chambers was a monster down the stretch in 2005, helping to win many fantasy titles, but this year, he is doing nothing but helping you lose them. Yes, sit Chris Chambers. You can breathe easier if you do. Expect nothing more than just 3 receptions for 27 yards. Daunte Culpepper couldn't find him, Joey Harrington couldn't find him, and Cleo Lemon won't find him. Don't inadvertently put your championship hopes in the hands of any Dolphin quarterback!

Silent but Deadly

• If you are finding yourself in your league championship with what you honestly can say is an average fantasy squad, and have the likes of Arnaz Battle on your roster, there is no way you can bench Battle and his upside this week, especially in a PPR league. Arizona is second in yards per reception allowed this year, giving up nearly 13 yards a catch to opposing wide receivers. We have seen Arnaz Battle grow into a trustworthy relationship with signal caller Alex Smith and I expect Smith to look for Battle early and often. Arizona is also only one of 7 teams to allow ten or more receptions of 40 yards or more. Battle is not known as the ultimate deep threat, like say Bernard Berrian of Chicago, but he does have the ability to grab the long ball. I am expecting a good, productive day for Battle as he posts 5 receptions, 98 yards, 1 touchdown.

Need more Info about anything Fantasy Football related? What about the upcoming NFL Draft? Get over to www.fflivewire.com and you will find everything that you need! Register on the forums and get to know a very knowledgeable and friendly community.