Thursday, January 25, 2007

Get Wired with the Stock Watch

The buzz surrounding the Senior Bowl may seem minuscule to most people but little do they know that this where players make or break their draft status. Last year was a strong reminder of this with Derek Hagan. As a wide receiver, he was highly touted and some early projections had him as a late first round-second round selection. He entered the Senior Bowl practices with rocks for hands. He couldn't catch a ball and his draft stock slid to the second day but the Miami Dolphins saw his upside in a weak wide receiver class and he was eventually drafted in just the third round.

With almost three months until draft day, let's take a look at some of the players that are improving their draft stock or devaluing their draft stock.

Rising

QB Troy Smith, Ohio State (6-0, 222)
Troy Smith is proving to be the best quarterback in the Senior Bowl. For four days now, he has looked like the best quarterback. He has a nice spiral with tight passes and is reluctant to scramble when things break down. Instead, he is known to check down his targets and dump the ball, but still isn't afraid to get some extra yardage with his legs. The common fan thinks Smith isn't worthy of spit after his BCS National Championship performance but you can't write him off just yet. He is playing with a chip on his shoulder and won't fall out of the 2nd round as of now. People have a knack to knock him for his height, but Drew Brees is only 6 feet tall. Smith's mechanices aren't as bad as previously though and by all accounts, he is drawing Drew Brees comparisons.

QB Drew Stanton, Michigan State (6-2, 226) With a lack of pure talent at the quarterback position this year, Stanton is pushing to be the fourth quarterback off of the board. Right now, he is projected to be a mid round selection but with his performance at the Senior Bowl practices this week, he is inching towards an early third round projection. He is showing good arm strength, tremendous accuracy with a tight spiral, and is placing a nice touch on the ball. He has also shown to be a nice leader in the two minute drill. Scouts have compared Drew Stanton to Chris Simms but with better upside. In my analysis, the better upside aspect of that comparison comes from Simms recent bouts with injuries and mediocre play on Sunday's when healthy. Of course, we have no NFL-play from Stanton to compare to Simms yet, but this will be a nice comparison to look at in 2 or 3 years from a hindsight perspective.

RB Thomas Clayton, Kansas State (5-10, 219) Thomas Clayton joined the Senior Bowl due to injuries but he was still projected to be a 6th or 7th round selection. Since coming to Mobile, he has stolen the show among running backs. He is showing to be a great change of direction back with a nice burst. He is very solid and hard to bring down. After one cut, he seems to be gone. This shifty running back, who replaced Northern Illinois speedster Garrett Wolfe, is proving that he should not have been overlooked in the first place. As I type this, Clayton is looking at a fourth round projection and could leap into the third round if he keeps impressing scouts. He is fast for his size and the combine in Indianapolis could force him to leap-frog Auburn's Kenny Irons. A current comparison from my perspective is Joseph Addai.

WR Brandon Myles, West Virginia (6-0, 183) Despite being on the slender side, Myles is looking like the best wide-out in this game. He has had some great catches, showed precision when running his routes, and looks like the ultimate hard-working athlete coaches look for. He quickly learned the spread offense's playbook in Morgantown and shouldn't have a problem picking up an NFL playbook and learning it within a week. He was a projected 6th round selection but is now working his way into the third or fourth rounds. Amongst this deep group of receivers, Myles may be a diamond in the rough and a nice "Anquan Boldin-type" selection for a franchise.

DE Adam Carriker, Nebraska (6-5, 292) Carriker is not known to be a pass rusher but is showing some strength in that department this week. He has been quick off the snap and uses his feet well. Carriker keeps his arms up when battling on the edge and should be effective on the next level in batting passes down. Carriker is quickly rising into a first round prospect, although some reports have him there already. This defensive end group is deep this year and Carriker is arguably the third best end behind Jamaal Anderson and Gaines Adams.

S/CB Brandon Meriweather, Miami (Fl) (5-10, 192) Meriweather is the defensive standout on the South squad this week. Entering the college football season, he was a sure-fire top 15 selection but a bad year for the Hurricanes mixed in with the on-the-field brawl in which Meriweather participated, he has slipped to the second round. Well, he may be pushing his stock back into the first round as the best safety behind LaRon Landry. The only thing is that he may not get drafted to play safety. He has seen action as a cornerback this week and has dominated, grabbing at least one interception so far. His timed speed will be enough to consider him as a multi-faceted threat worthy of a first round selection. His character issues will need resolved but a winning team in the first round may not pass on him due to his pure talent.

Free-Falling

RB Kenny Irons, Auburn (5-10, 198) Irons needs to show something good this week to improve his stock. Right now he is projected to go in either the 2nd or 3rd round but could slip into the second day. He is stronger than he looks though but his blocking techniques need fine-tuned and he has dropped almost every single pass thrown his way this week. It seems to me that Irons has good change of direction skills. I was high on him entering the season but have fallen back on his prospects. He reminds me of Jerome Harrison. If Irons can land on the right team, and get coached up, he could be a formidable running back on the next level in a 2-back system. I am not sold on him though. He isn't helping his stock either. My sources say he is nothing more than a 3rd round selection right now.

RB Garrett Wolfe, Northern Illinois (5-7, 183) Wolfe was hit with the injury bug this week and will not play in the Senior Bowl. Prior to his injury, he was struggling with his carries and looked really weak. Most see Wolfe as a return man on the next level but all I see is an afterthought. When I see Wolfe run, I think of Quentin Griffin without the drive and the opportunity. Wolfe is a projected late round selection that may go undrafted in April.

TE Clark Harris, Rutgers (6-5, 257) Clark Harris arrived in Mobile and was looked upon as a top-heavy player that looked slower than expected. Clark Harris ended up getting injured and was replaced by Ben Patrick from Delaware. Scott Wright said that he would be surprised if Clark Harris could run better than a 4.8 forty in Indianapolis. Harris' blocking was always questioned at Rutgers. Harris has built a name for himself through the Scarlet Knights' strong showing in 2006 and will get drafted in rounds 6 or 7. He just doesn't bring enough to the table from an NFL perspective.

DE Quentin Moses, Georgia (6-4, 249) Moses came to Alabama looking fit to be an end in a 3-4 defense. His value was already taking a hit before the Senior Bowl but the best I can say about Moses this week is that he has been unimpressive. He does have long arms and is pretty fluid with his feet but his push off of the edge isn't wowing anybody right now. Moses' stock is falling and it is making way for Adam Carriker's push into the first round. Right now Moses looks like a second round selection, unless he turns things around in a hurry.

CB Leon Hall, Michigan (5-11, 193) Leon Hall is projected to be a top 10 selection by most people, but they must not be paying attention. Hall has been burnt by Anthony Gonzalez from Ohio State and was wiped off the map by Dwayne Jarrett in the Rose Bowl. Leon Hall is also struggling dearly in Mobile. A Cleveland Browns' scout called Hall "just another guy" and average wide-out Paul Williams "juked Hall out of his jock strap." Leon Hall is now a late first round projection in my book, and if he gets embarrassed on game day in Mobile, he may slide into the second round.

CB Aaron Ross, Texas (6-0, 192) Ross keeps getting beaten by Dwayne Bowe in Mobile. If Ross can't hold his ground with Bowe, how can he be expected to hold his weight against Steve Smith, Reggie Wayne, or Chad Johnson? He is strong in zone coverage but looks like a nickelback on the next level. Ross is currently projected to be a late first round-early second round selection. With the emergence of Brandon Meriweather at corner, plus Daymeion Hughes, Josh Wilson, and the declaration from underclassman Chris Houston, Ross could fall into the late second round. Now that is a free fall, especially when you consider that Ross won the 2006 Jim Thorpe Award.

Conclusion

Stay tuned to ffLiveWire.com as I will update this list after the Senior Bowl game.

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Latest Mock...

Round 1

  1. Oakland - QB JaMarcus Russell, Louisiana State (6-6, 260) Obviously, the Raiders need a lot of help on the offensive side of the ball but when a rebuilding team needs to rebuild again, they will start with a quarterback. Owner Al Davis is big on the advancement of minorities in sports. Russell has raw potential that hasn't been tapped yet. Russell will play a nice role in the downfield passing attack, as well as providing nice touch on the leather when needed. He is the physical monster that Oakland usually pursues.
  2. Detroit - OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin (6-8, 313) Let the heated debates begin. No, the quarterback talk in Detroit is not a smokescreen. Jon Kitna will be the man in 2007, and if he slips up, the developing Dan Orlovsky will fill in for him. Thomas is the safest pick here for the resiliently bad Matt Millen. It is time for an overhaul in Detroit and Thomas will help lead the way. He is also being considered a better prospect than D'Brickashaw Ferguson from last year.
  3. Tampa Bay (pending coin flip with CLE) - WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech (6-5, 235) The Buccaneers need help on the defensive side of the ball. Calvin Johnson stands out here though and he will give Chris Simms or Bruce Gradkowski an immediate threat anywhere on the field. Johnson has all of the physical tools to be an on-the-field prototype of Terrell Owens. His character is a polar opposite of Owens' as well. Get used to punching his name in on the Pro Bowl ballot.
  4. Cleveland (pending coin flip with TB) - DT Alan Branch, Michigan (6-6, 331) Many homers will be pulling for a Brady Quinn selection but the clock is ticking on the Romeo Crennel regime. They have no time to waste in starting over with a rookie quarterback. Charlie Frye is an adequate project when healthy and the offensive line should be recovered from injuries next year. Branch fills in a mandatory hole at nose tackle. Ted Washington is sweating dirt after a series and there is no depth behind him.
  5. Arizona - DE Jamaal Anderson, Arkansas (6-6, 280) The more I see of Anderson, the more I like. He was the best defensive end in college football this year and has leaped Gaines Adams. You might think Mario Williams was worthy last year, but Williams' senior season is nothing compared to Anderson's junior campaign. Anderson racked up 13.5 sacks this year as well.
  6. Washington - DE Gaines Adams, Clemson (6-5, 260) Adams is an outstanding athlete who can get pressure off of the ball in a way that no other Redskin end could in 2006. He is almost as disruptive as Jamaal Anderson but could develop into a perennial nightmare on the field. Philip Daniels is looking like he won't be anything more than a journeyman in the NFL also. Adams is an immediate upgrade over Daniels.
  7. Minnesota - S LaRon Landry, Louisiana State (6-2, 202) Darren Sharper is still a good safety but he is ten years deep into the league. He will also be a free agent after 2007. While the Vikings need a defensive end, they could trade down into the �teens to acquire Charles Johnson, but that is a reach. They also need a wide receiver but as I came to find out, Brad Childress was a leading factor in keeping the Eagles away from first round wide-outs, even though they dismissed the notion when they snatched Fred Mitchell. Landry provides insurance and adds quality depth before it is missed. He is a ballhawk that will challenge Sharper for his starting gig.
  8. Houston - RB Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma (6-2, 218) Peterson probably shouldn't fall this far but it is likely he will. This Texas native turned Sooner will provide an extra dimension in the backfield. If Domanick Williams (the former Davis) can return to health, this duo could turn into a 1-2 punch that most will regret facing. Peterson will need to prove he can be a pass catcher and he needs to improve his blocking.
  9. Miami - QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame (6-4, 227) New head coach Cam Cameron is great in developing quarterbacks. From Antwaan Randle-El in college to Gus Frerotte in his Pro Bowl season (1997), Cameron knows his passers. He has a big decision to make concerning Daunte Culpepper but when Brady Quinn falls into his lap, that decision on Culpepper will be a lot easier.
  10. Atlanta - WR Dwayne Jarrett, Southern Cal (6-5, 210) The Falcons history with wide receivers in the first round isn't very good and the selection of Jarrett would be their 3rd wide-out in four first rounds. In order for Bobby Petrino's offense to run effectively, he will need an impact wide receiver that can hold on to the ball. Jarrett might have a problem selling his routes but his major concern should be with who is at quarterback.
  11. San Francisco - CB Leon Hall, Michigan (5-11, 194) Like I said before, Walt Harris is a solid cornerback but Shawntae Spencer is overrated. Hall will fill a void in the defensive backfield. He is quick off the ball and uses his eyes effectively. He is quick enough to hang with anyone but will need safety support at times.
  12. Buffalo - RB Marshawn Lynch, California (5-11, 217) Willis McGahee has worn out his welcome in Buffalo and is expected to be moved before the 2007 season kicks off. He is also entering the last year of his contract. The Bills offense is catching up to most of the better teams in the league and Lynch will provide them with the running attack McGahee once provided. First Travis Henry, now McGahee. What is it with running backs in Buffalo?
  13. St. Louis - DT Amobi Okoye, Louisville (6-1, 317) The Rams need help at both linebacker and defensive tackle but drafting Okoye here is a win-win situation. They get a guy that will be the youngest player in the NFL, and he is also a great prospect for the Rams defense, as he is strong enough to help solidify their run defense.
  14. Carolina - WR Ted Ginn, Ohio State (6-0, 180) Even though I don't expect to see Keyshawn Johnson departing, Keary Colbert has worked his way out of a job. The Panthers need a lot of help at linebacker but they also need a legitimate threat opposite of Steve Smith. This offense lacked intensity and hopefully Ginn will help rejuvenate this group of athletes.
  15. Pittsburgh - OT Levi Brown, Penn State (6-5, 328) With help needed at guard, center, and tackle, the Steelers can't go wrong with the best offensive lineman in this draft. Although it seems appropriate for Pittsburgh to draft out of their backyard, but their largest weakness is with the protection of Ben Roethlisberger.
  16. Green Bay - CB Darrelle Revis, Pittsburgh (6-0, 200) The Packers lack a legitimate shut down corner opposite of Al Harris. Charles Woodson has had a great career but the nursing home motorcade is about to arrive. Considering who he will be facing within the NFC North, Revis could step in and leave 2007 with a great rookie season.
  17. Jacksonville - S Reggie Nelson, Florida (6-1, 193) The Jaguars do not expect to see Deon Grant back next year so they must look to add some solid depth. Nelson is a true playmaker in the backfield. He reminds me of a more athletic John Lynch. He will hit hard and take names. The Jaguars would love for an offensive playmaker to land here also.
  18. Cincinnati - OLB Lawrence Timmons, Florida State (6-3, 230) The Bengals failed to acquire one sack from their left outside linebackers in 2006. They lack a presence at defensive tackle but with what little they have in Rashad Jeanty, there is no way that Marvin Lewis can pass on Timmons here.
  19. Tennessee - WR Sidney Rice, South Carolina (6-4, 202) With Drew Bennett's expired contract and no new deal in the works, the Titans will need to reload at wide receiver despite needing help at defensive end as well. This is a coin flip between Rice and Charles Johnson. Rice plays like Drew Bennett as his speed is questionable but his playmaking ability is better.
  20. N.Y. Giants - OLB Paul Posluszny, Penn State (6-2, 238) The Giants have a ton of issues but most importantly, they need help at linebacker. LaVar Arrington's injury may have cost him his career production-wise and Brandon Short has done nothing spectacular lately. Posluszny is a freak and he will prove to anyone that you shouldn't judge a book by its cover.
  21. Denver - DE Charles Johnson, Georgia (6-2, 270) Charles Johnson hopped over his team mate Quentin Moses when he declared for the draft. Johnson acquired 5 more sacks than Moses in 2006. The Broncos lack a true playmaking pass rusher and Johnson will provide them with stability. Johnson and Elvis Dumervil will give Denver a great set of book-ends and a strong hope for the future.
  22. Dallas - OG Justin Blalock, Texas (6-4, 329) With more questions than answers, Jerry Jones doesn't have the luxury of passing on Blalock here. At the end of the day, whether it is a tackle, guard, or center, Blalock may be the best offensive lineman prospect in this draft. He would have been a late first rounder last year and will be one again this year.
  23. Kansas City - DT DeMarcus Tyler, North Carolina State (6-2, 305) The Chiefs need a pure defensive tackle that is strong in penetrating betweens the trenches. Tank Tyler is a brutal force inside and will compliment the ends well. A guy like Tyler will even make the linebackers look good. If he can stay in good shape and not get lazy, he could remind some people of what they hoped for in Ryan Sims.
  24. New England (via SEA) - ILB Patrick Willis, Ole Miss (6-2, 240) Willis is a top 15-type player that will be pleased to hear his name announced in conjunction with the New England Patriots. The Patriots group in the middle is starting to age and Banta-Cain is slated to be a free agent. Willis is versatile enough to play on the outside in the 3-4 as well, even though he might get outmatched most of the time.
  25. N.Y. Jets - CB Marcus McCauley, Fresno State (6-1, 205) When they brought in some new defensive backs, most of them were ageless wonders with little left. Rumors are already circulating of an Eric Mangini-Asante Samuel reunion in the Big Apple. Never count out McCauley though. He is a class act and can make plays from the outside or nickel position.
  26. Philadelphia - DE Jarvis Moss, Florida (6-6, 251) Face it, Jerome McDougle is a bust and Jevon Kearse can't stave off injuries. Darren Howard is too inconsistent and Trent Cole is an emerging star. The Eagles need help at linebacker, safety, and defensive end but at this point, they can not pass on Moss, a true athlete that will swim around any tackle in the NFC East.
  27. New Orleans - CB Aaron Ross, Texas (6-1, 192) Fred Gibson's post-season performance is a strong reminder to Sean Payton that the Saints need a quality cornerback. Ross is an underrated corner that didn't start until his senior year but he did win the Jim Thorpe Award. Daymeion Hughes slide will create enough value for Ross to push him into the first round.
  28. New England - CB Chris Houston, Arkansas (5-11, 188) The Patriots will need to replace Asante Samuel, and who better to replace him with than a fast-rising confident cover corner from Arkansas. Houston will step in immediately and start over Ray Mickens.
  29. Baltimore - OLB Jon Beason, Miami, Fl. (6-0, 238) The Ravens will need to find a replacement for Adalius Thomas. Jon Beason isn't as athletic as Thomas but he will fit the mold of the typical Raven linebacker. Beason plays more like Bart Scott and could have an immediate impact next to Ray Lewis.
  30. San Diego - WR Robert Meachem, Tennessee (6-3, 210) The Chargers need someone that can not only spread the field but someone who can hold on to the rock. Meachem reminds me of a Keenan McCardell in his prime and will compliment the aging McCardell as soon as he steps onto the field.
  31. Indianapolis - OLB Earl Everett, Florida (6-3, 234) The Colts could go with DT Quinn Pitcock here but Pitcock is not very effective in the run defense department. The Colts have some key free agents at linebacker and those guys underachieved so it is likely they could land Earl Everett here. Everett is a hard-nosed athlete with a knack for getting into the backfield.
  32. Chicago - TE Zach Miller, Arizona State (6-5, 259) The Bears need help on the offensive line and at tight end but they might not have the opportunity to pass on a guy like Zach Miller. Miller's numbers rivaled Todd Heap's in college and Miller has drawn the knack to prove his is more versatile than Heap was in college. Desmond Clark is average but Miller possesses the ability to make big plays like Jeremy Shockey or Antonio Gates.

Round 2

  1. Oakland - OT Tony Ugoh, Arkansas (6-5, 329) This selection helps solidify the worst offensive line in football.
  2. Detroit - DE Quentin Moses, Georgia (6-5, 257) Cory Redding will now be a full-time tackle so they need to replace him.
  3. Tampa Bay - DT Quinn Pitcock, Ohio State (6-3, 295) The Bucs need a presence up the middle and Pitcock will be their guy.
  4. Cleveland - OG Ben Grubbs, Auburn (6-3, 318) The Browns need to upgrade their line despite efforts to do so last year.
  5. Arizona - OT Arron Sears, Tennessee (6-4, 320) This is a no-brainer here. Sears is versatile enough to challenge at guard or tackle.
  6. N.Y. Jets (via WAS) - RB Tony Hunt, Penn State (6-2, 230) His projected 4.60 forty is killing his value but he will push the 4.50 barrier at the combine. Compliments Washington.
  7. Minnesota - WR Dwayne Bowe, Louisiana State (6-3, 217) The Vikings need a true warrior at wide receiver.
  8. Houston - S Brandon Meriweather, Miami, Fl. (6-0, 195) He is an immediate upgrade over C.C. Green and Glenn Earl.
  9. Miami - OLB/S Michael Okwo, Stanford (6-0, 225) Okwo is rising fast on draft boards and he will replace Spragan or play safety.
  10. Atlanta - RB Michael Bush, Louisville (6-3, 247) Petrino will continue to push this offense into a major overhaul.
  11. San Francisco - DE/OLB LaMarr Woodley, Michigan (6-2, 274) Woodley will be Manny Lawson's compliment for years to come.
  12. Buffalo - OG Marshal Yanda, Iowa (6-4, 305) An upgrade for the offensive line is much needed.
  13. St. Louis - OLB Rufus Alexander, Oklahoma (6-1, 230) A linebacker has been needed for the last decade. Maybe Alexander will be that guy that have always pursued.
  14. Carolina - ILB Buster Davis, Florida State (5-10, 240) You are looking at a first round value replacing Dan Morgan from the second round.
  15. Pittsburgh - CB Daymeion Hughes, California (6-2, 188) Hughes has great hands and covers well enough for the 3-4 blitz package.
  16. Green Bay - RB Antonio Pittman, Ohio State (6-1, 220) Pittman will be the next franchise running back for the Cheeseheads.
  17. Jacksonville - ILB Brandon Siler, Florida (6-2, 235) Mike Peterson needs a replacement and the Gator will fill in nicely.
  18. Cincinnati - TE Greg Olsen, Miami, Fl. (6-5, 252) Olsen will provide another dimension to this passing attack.
  19. Tennessee - DE Adam Carriker, Nebraska (6-6, 295) While some have Carriker going to Tennessee in the first, I have him falling in their laps in the second.
  20. N.Y. Giants - CB Josh Wilson, Maryland (5-9, 187) The Giants still lack depth at corner and could do better with Wilson than with what they have.
  21. Denver - CB Fred Bennett, South Carolina (6-1, 198) Bennett is not fiercely physical but is an upgrade over Domonique Foxworth.
  22. Dallas - S Michael Griffin, Texas (6-0, 205) Griffin's value is taking a slide like Dustin Fox's in 2005.
  23. Kansas City - QB Troy Smith, Ohio State (6-1, 215) The Chiefs can't be sold on Brodie Croyle and Trent Green is turning into Kurt Warner.
  24. Seattle - OT Joe Staley, Central Michigan (6-5, 300) They need to replenish their offensive line with some talent.
  25. N.Y. Jets - DE Victor Abiamiri, Notre Dame (6-4, 270) He plays like John Abraham from the edge but it wouldn't hurt to bulk up.
  26. Philadelphia - S Aaron Rouse, Virginia Tech (6-4, 221) A true ballhawk that plays defenders well, will compliment Dawkins well.
  27. New Orleans - DT Justin Harrell, Tennessee (6-4, 300) He provides a conditioned upgrade over out-of-shape Hollis Thomas.
  28. New England - WR Anthony Gonzalez, Ohio State (6-0, 193) Gonzalez is a true compliment to this passing attack that doesn't need a #1.
  29. Baltimore - OT Doug Free, Northern Illinois (6-7, 302) Jonathan Ogden will need replaced and Free has the frame to do so.
  30. San Diego - ILB H.B. Blades, Pittsburgh (6-0, 240) He will be the heir-apparent to either Donnie Edwards or Randall Godfrey.
  31. Tampa Bay (via IND) - DE Ikaika Alama-Francis, Hawaii (6-5, 285) This guy lives in the offensive backfield.
  32. Chicago - OLB Stewart Bradley, Nebraska (6-4, 250) Bradley is a monster and will probably improve his stock even more.

Thursday, January 18, 2007

NFL Draft Live Wire 1/18/07

Since January 15th, most of the news on the NFL Draft has died down but it will once again pick up as we approach the East-West Shrine Game and the Senior Bowl. Both exhibition's will display many pro prospects. In this update, I will focus on the East-West Shrine Game and highlight the pro prospects that you need to watch.

Even though he has received an invitation to play in the Senior Bowl amidst the Brady Quinn controversy, Florida quarterback Chris Leak would like to improve his draft stock even more. The other quarterbacks competing in the Shrine game are Drew Tate (Iowa), Lester Ricard (Tulane), Jeff Rowe (Nevada), Zac Taylor (Nebraska), John Beck (Brigham Young). Leak, Rowe, and Beck are highly touted considering how weak this senior quarterback class is expected to be.

Tyrone Moss (Miami, Fl.) will look to prove the doubters wrong and show why he can be a first day selection. He will lead this group of running backs. The other running backs involved in the Shrine game are Alonzo Coleman (Hampton), Steve Baylark (UMass), Stevie Hicks (Iowa State), Selvin Young (Texas), and Jon Kornish (Kansas). Moss, Young, Hicks, and Kornish are the backs that you will want to keep an eye on in this game.

Steve Breaston (Michigan) has been acclaimed to have some good practices this week for the East squad. He can really move up into the first day of the draft with a good showing in the Shrine Game and at the Combine. Aside from Breaston, the other wide-out's that will show off their skills in this game are Syvelle Newton (South Carolina), David Ball (New Hampshire), Jayson Swain (Tennessee), Dallas Baker (Florida), Paul Williams (Fresno State), Joel Filani (Texas Tech), D'Juan Woods (Oklahoma State), and Jarrett Hicks (Texas Tech). Recent reports from the practices say that Filani is struggling catching the ball. Williams, Baker, Breaston, Swain, and Woods are all expecting to be drafted this April. Controversial wide-out Ryan Moore (Miami, Fl.) dropped out of this game. Prior to his legal and character issues last year, Moore was being projected to be a first rounder. Now he will be lucky to get drafted.

Of the tight end's, the only noteworthy prospect to keep an eye on is Matt Herian from Nebraska. He is a Kyle Brady-like end that is very useful when he is blocking.

The offensive linemen that you might want to watch are Doug Free (Northern Illinois), Brandon Frye (Virginia Tech), Kyle Young (Fresno State), Enoka Lucas (Oregon), and Herb Taylor (Texas Christian). Of this group, Kyle Young, Doug Free and Brandon Frye appear to be first day prospects.

On the defensive line, there are a lot of guys that want to make a name for themselves but only a few that could be first day prospects. Baratka Atkins (Miami, Fl.) leads the pack as he could sneak into the first round by the time April comes around. Joining Atkins on the watch list are Steve Harris (Florida), and Mkristo Bruce (Washington State). Standout Warrior from Hawaii Ikaika Alama-Francis is slated to play in this game but was injured in the Hula Bowl.

The linebackers are thin prospect-wise but Desmond Bishop (California) leads the way. Keep an eye on Justin Durant (Hampton) as he will try to shove his way into a first day selection.

Possible first round selection Marcus McCauley (Fresno State) leads this pack of defensive backs. Joining him on the watch list is Sabby Piscitelli (Oregon State), John Wendling (Wyoming), C.J. Wilson (Baylor), Willis Barringer (Michigan), and Brandon Mitchell (Ohio State).

For complete rosters, click on the following links: East and West.

Keeper League Targets: Quarterbacks

Welcome back to the second edition of the Offensive Keeper League targets where quarterbacks will be showcased. Entering the 2007 post-season, there are fewer quarterbacks than say running backs in which one should target. In the last couple of seasons, quarterbacks have been ravaged with injuries, so the uncertainty surrounding these prominent signal callers is tremendous. Obviously, there is no need to mention the likes of Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Carson Palmer, or Tom Brady. Instead, I will focus on the often overlooked quarterbacks that will be of keeper value in 2007, especially at a low-cost.

The 49ers offense is a sleeping giant and Alex Smith is at the helm. Granted, I thought Smith had "Tim Couch" written all over him but I have reversed my stance on this young quarterback after watching him progress in 2 seasons of play. In 2006, his passer rating improved to 74.8 from 40.6 the year before. His completion percentage improved by 8% as well. He posted nearly 2,900 passing yards, 16 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in his first full season of play in 2006. Smith should get improved protection through the draft or free agency, so his tendency to lose control of the ball should decrease in 2007 as he had 9 fumbles in 2006, only 2 were recovered though. He was also sacked 35 times. Alex Smith might not be on any roster but if he is, I recommend holding on to the kid if you have enough talent to do so. He will come real cheap and should get a viable #1 receiving option through the draft. Vernon Davis should be completely healed from his injury last year as well. His fantasy upside will continue to grow and he will be a more than adequate backup quarterback next season. In Smith's division, he will face 3 teams twice a year that struggle containing the pass. With injuries (think Donovan McNabb), poor play (think Chris Simms), uncertainty (think Michael Vick), and bad team play (think Jon Kitna), Smith isn't a bad option really, especially when you consider the realistic circumstances the 49ers will face in 2007. Keep an eye on this kid and hold on to him if you can, he looks like he will be something special.

Another young quarterback that you must consider holding onto as a keeper is Jay Cutler. If Mike Shanahan takes the leash off of Cutler in the upcoming season, we may witness something special. In 5 starts, Cutler had a remarkable 88.5 passer rating to go along with his 59.1% completion percentage. I really love this kid in a football kind of way. He averaged 200 yards a game and nearly threw 2 touchdowns each in all 5 starts. He did throw 5 interceptions but those can be expunged due to his inexperience. Cutler was probably not drafted in your league but I am sure someone hit the waiver wire hard to grab his services. You should be able to keep him for nothing at all in any keeper format. I think Cutler has the potential to be a top 7 fantasy quarterback in his second season. Also, if you have read my columns in the past, you know that I am never too keen on depending on youth at the quarterback position but Cutler is a special talent. Hold on to him. Just when you thought you wasted 5 bucks on a lottery ticket, you scratch it off and realize you hit the jackpot. You will feelthe same way with Cutler on your roster in 2007.

When all things are considered, Tony Romo might have been overrated in 2006, but his fantasy numbers didn't reflect his decision making on the field. If Terrell Owens held on to the ball more, Romo's numbers might have been even better than they were. He did finish with over 2,900 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, a passer rating of 95.1 and a completion percentage of 65%. Romo is a bona fide top 10 selection next year among quarterbacks. With that said, I guarantee if you play in a standard league, he went undrafted, but was no longer a free agent by the end of November. Once again, here is another signal caller that you should be able to keep at virtually no cost to you. With all of the offensive pieces expected back next year, and hopefully an upgrade on the offensive line, Romo could be in for a big year. This hype I am building for him reminds me of the hype last off-season surrounding Eli Manning. Keep Romo if you need a good quarterback because he will buzz-saw the competition in 2007.

Another NFC East quarterback emerged in 2006. Jason Campbell from the Washington Redskins progressed throughout the season after he took over for Mark Brunell week 11. Keeping Campbell is a reach but if the Redskins can add a receiver worth complimenting Santana Moss, his value could skyrocket. Keep an eye on Campbell as he could be worth holding on to due to the fact that you might not have to give anything up for him in return.

With no more excuses to use, Ben Roethlisberger showed that he has a cannon for an arm but needs to make better decisions. Better decisions will come if the Steelers improve their offensive line and blocking scheme. In 2006, he threw the ball 112 more times than he did in 2005. Big Ben also finished with nearly more than 1,200 yards than the year before. He did throw more interceptions than touchdowns though, but that should be corrected in 2007. Roethlisberger will provide someone with a sleeper #1 quarterback in 2007 if he is kept. While fantasy rankings continue to shuffle year in and year out for the 2nd tier of quarterbacks, expect Roethlisberger to emerge onto this level in 2007.

While he has some strong critics, J.P. Losman quietly put up a good year. 2006 was his first full year as the starter in Buffalo, and it was his first season under Dick Jauron and his new playbook. When the dust cleared, Losman showed great ability to pick up the new system, looked overwhelmingly impressive, and made strides in Buffalo. He only had one viable passing option in Lee Evans, and even Evans was double covered most of the time. Impressively, Losman finished with over 3,000 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, 14 interceptions, a 62.5 completion percentage and a passer rating of 84.9. If you ask me, Losman was the most improved quarterback of 2006. He was a solid option at backup on fantasy rosters and will improve on that in 2007. The Bills are expected to beef up the offensive line some more, and add some playmakers through the draft and free agency. Already, there is talk of Drew Bennett to Buffalo once March knocks the door down. Aside from Alex Smith, Losman is the second best keeper option based on his round value in this column. I strongly encourage anyone in deep leagues, if they need a quarterback, to try to hold on to him. Also, if you are in a dynasty league and are looking to move some dead weight, try to acquire J.P. Losman. I hope I just didn't leave the cat out of the bag on this one.

Keeper League Targets: Wide Receivers/Tight Ends

Aspects of the fantasy game are changing each year and new wide receivers emerge as studs. The hardest thing to do is decipher between whom to keep in the middle ranges of the wide receiver/tight end position. Sure, Chad Johnson, Antonio Gates Terrell Owens, Marvin Harrison, Steve Smith, and more are obvious options, but let's consider what you will give up to keep a certain player and the value you will receive. Finding a diamond in the rough at virtually no cost to you will help your team make strides in the coming season.

An underappreciated star goes unnoticed most of the time in fantasy football. Hines Ward of the Pittsburgh Steelers is a strong keeper option at where you probably drafted him. Ward battled injuries and suffered his second consecutive season with less than 1,000-yards receiving. In 2005, he grabbed 69 receptions for 975 yards and 11 touchdowns. In 2006, he grabbed 74 receptions for 975 yards and 6 touchdowns. He seems to like that 975-yard mark for some reason. Regardless, he will be 100% healthy next year, and with what we expect from Ben Roethlisberger, Ward should be back and ready to post 1,300-yards like he did in 2002. There isn't a wide receiver like Ward that can stretch the field. He does some remarkable things include win fantasy titles. With the spotlight off of Hines Ward, you should be able to keep him for a 7th or 8th round pick. I recommend doing so strongly. He is underappreciated and should return to Pro Bowl form in 2007.

There is another underappreciated wide receiver floating around. His name is Lee Evans. Evans finished 2006 strong as he averaged 96 yards per outing in the last 9 games. He also hauled in 7 touchdowns in those last 9 games. Evans is the Bills sole home run threat and he can be expected to expand his role if the Bills bring in another playmaker as they are expected to. In his three seasons, Lee Evans is still maintaining a one touchdown every other game average. A career 16.2 yards per receptions average isn't bad either. Lee Evans is starting to remind me of a younger Steve Smith. He is just one more step away from blowing the doors off of the NFL. If you own Evans, I think you should keep him at whatever cost. You should only have to give up a 7th or 8th, maybe 9th round pick to keep him. He was 8 yards shy of 1,300 yards and grabbed 8 touchdowns in a developing offense. The third year wide receiver theory was proven to be accurate with Evans, but Evans will keep up the pace and return with similar numbers in 2007. Just look at how constant his touchdown numbers are. Keep Lee Evans.

While Donte Stallworth is growing into the big, down the field target for the Eagles, Reggie Brown is growing into a "do-everything" kind of receiver. I think both of these guys will have fine 2007 seasons but right now I will feature Reggie Brown. Like we seen with Lee Evans, Brown is primed for a big third year. He only hauled in 3 more receptions in 2006 than he did the year before, but his yardage increased by 245 yards. Brown also averaged a touchdown every other game. Now, Brown owners probably drafted him in the 10th or 11th round, so that is all you would have to give up for him, so I am going to recommend holding on to him. Stallworth is expected to be back to help keep the pressure off of Brown. Brown led the Eagles in receiving in 2006 and should do so again in 2007.

Guess which tight end had 18 more receptions than Antonio Gates in 2006? If you guessed Kellen Winslow, you are correct. This outspoken Cleveland Brown was a top notch fantasy tight end and surprised many owners, especially with his 12th or 13th round selection. Only 8 other players in the NFL had more receptions than Winslow (89). His 875 yards and 3 touchdowns should be improved upon in 2007, regardless of who is at quarterback. I rarely recommend keeping tight ends, but if you think you could pass in doing so and only give up a late pick in exchange for Winslow, go ahead and do it.

Are you itching for my thoughts on Marques Colston? Of course you keep him. He was a waiver wire pickup in almost every league due to early drafts so by virtue of knowledge, you have to give up virtually nothing for his services in 2007. Although, I am concerned of a Michael Clayton/Keary Colbert-type letdown in 2007. But, with what we know from only one season, you would be foolish to not keep this kid.

If you are one of the few that play in deep, 16-team keeper leagues, I have a strong option for you. Ronald Curry from the horrible Oakland Raiders should be on your radar. He was second in receptions during the month of December, and 8th in yards. You must also consider that he put up surging numbers in a cataclysmic offense that was getting worse by the hour. If Randy Moss and/or Jerry Porter do end up leaving Oakland, this will be the Ronald Curry show. He is 6-2 and can stretch the field. 2007 will be considered Curry's third full season in the NFL, despite entering the league in 2002. In his two complete seasons (2004, 2006), Curry is averaging 56 receptions, 703 yards, and 3.5 touchdowns a year. Logically thinking, this will be Curry's third year and could be an exception into the third year wide receiver theory. Like I said, if you play in really deep leagues that are misconstrued with confusing rules and regulations, and you need a reach for a keeper, think of Ronald Curry. He is the NFL's "Diamond in the Rough."

With all things considered, you may be wondering why I left off some of the better known wide receivers. In my opinion, AndreJohnson, Reggie Wayne, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Donald Driver, Terry Glenn, and Plaxico Burress should be considered no-brainers. Also, I am not sold on Roy Williams from Detroit. If I were to make an educated, yet controversial guess, I would say that Williams reminds me of David Boston. Also, Chris Chambers needs to show me more to make this list or be considered a no-brainer. If you do have a question concerning some of these picks, please use the forums at ffLiveWire or e-mail me.

Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Keeper League Targets: Running Backs

Before the 2007 fantasy football season swings into high gear, one aspect of the sport needs to be examined. Keepers. The definition of a keeper is one player that you will keep for consecutive seasons. In the exchange for that player, you must give something back to your league, for example, that specific player's round value. Get it? If not, here is a brief but accurate example. If you drafted Larry Johnson in the first round of your league's draft last year, you must give up this year's first round pick to keep Larry Johnson. This type of rule is the most standard among keeper rules although there are many indifferent rules in leagues around the world.

In this first edition of Keeper League Targets, I will examine the ever-important running back situation. This will be a list of valuable keepers but you you will not see LaDainian Tomlinson, Larry Johnson, Frank Gore, Willie Parker or Steven Jackson on this list, as they are studs and obvious keeper options. Excited yet? If you lost any of that "fantasy fever" a couple weeks ago, get ready to be excited because it will feel like it's August after you read this article.

Immediately, one guy that I am excited about for the 2007 fantasy season is Cedric Benson from the Chicago Bears. Of course, he is intertwined with Thomas Jones in a running back by committee but Benson has elevated his game towards the end of the season. From weeks 13 through 17, Cedric Benson carried the ball 7 more times than Thomas Jones. Benson also finished with more yardage and the same amount of touchdowns. Check out the following chart on the Benson/Jones comparisons from weeks 13-17:

Player

Carries (avg)

Yards (avg)

Total Touchdowns

Cedric Benson

68 (13.6)

335 (67)

2

Thomas Jones

61 (12.2)

265 (53)

2

When all is said and done though, Jones did finish with a better statistical season, although his production tapered towards the regular season finale. Could this be just a formality? I don't think so. Cedric Benson was able to find better running lanes as compared to Jones and the only times Jones would break through for a large run are on superb run blocking where tight end Desmond Clark was involved. Cedric Benson makes things happen when he is on the field. He may not be as favorable with the front office as Thomas Jones is but Benson is younger, and looks better. With all things considered, you will have more value keeping Cedric Benson as he will be a strong keeper than you would keeping Thomas Jones, as Jones was drafted higher than Benson is virtually every league.

There is a sense of strong commitment in the air in San Diego, especially when your running back has destroyed opponents in his pursuit of breaking records. With that said, a restricted free agent has emerged by the way-side. Michael Turner, the speedy yet powerful back that people love to watch, isn't expected back in San Diego next year. The Chargers will be expected to put a 2nd round tender on Turner, and there are many teams in a disposition when it comes to their ground game. I expect Buffalo, Green Bay, the New York Jets, and even Atlanta to make strong push for Turner. He averaged 6.3 yards on 80 carries in 2006. In his three year career, he is averaging 6 yards per carry on 157 attempts. Turner is also critical in second and third down situations where he passed the line marker 24 times this past season. He will come real cheap in round value keeper scenarios as if he was drafted at all; it was late in your league's draft. Even if he hangs around San Diego one more year, his value is strong considering his upside in an unrestricted free agent market. Keep this guy around at all costs, since it will cost you practically nothing.

The real rookie of the year, Maurice Jones-Drew had a remarkable season as a rookie, even though he went undrafted in most leagues. He averaged 5.7 yards per carry and 9.5 yards per reception. He finished his rookie year with 1,377 total yards and 15 touchdowns. Fred Taylor is standing in his way though. Jones-Drew owners shouldn't have to worry as Fred Taylor himself is unsure of his future in Jacksonville. As we seen Jones-Drew bounce his way off of defensive tackles and linebackers, we will see him bounce his way towards the higher end of the fantasy spectrum. Buy into him now if you own him in a keeper league. His value is still underappreciated even though he helped win many fantasy championships this year.

Another rookie that had a great year but when a little unnoticed was Joseph Addai. He finished with 1,406 total yards and 8 touchdowns despite not starting a single regular season game. He had two 100-yard rushing performances, including a 171-yard night against the Philadelphia Eagles. He outshined soon-to be unrestricted free agent Dominic Rhodes and also made Edgerrin James an afterthought. If Rhodes doesn't return to Indianapolis, we should see a spike in Joseph Addai's receptions as he proved to be dependable in the passing game. Rhodes hauled in 36 receptions compared to Addai's 40. If Addai is the sole back in this system, it shouldn't be a problem for him to compile more than 55 receptions year in and year out, which makes him even more valuable, especially in PPR leagues.

The thunder is pounding down on the Big Apple as Brandon Jacobs will continue where Tiki Barber left off. In 134 career carries, Jacobs has 16 touchdowns. That is one touchdown per 8.3 attempts. Sure, those numbers are inflated due to his red zone capabilities, but he should see 200+ carries in 2007, even if the Giants pursue another "speedy" running back. Jacobs was probably a late round selection in your fantasy draft, so you get the Giants heir-apparent at virtually no cost to you.

After turning 28 on December 27th, Deuce McAllister still has a lot of life in him. As a starter and in every season he has played at least 14 games, McAllister is averaging 1,290 yards per season. Even as he shared the backfield with the prodigy Reggie Bush, McAllister tallied 1,057 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns in 2006, elevating him back into a fantasy superstar. His numbers should remain stable for 2007 if he remains healthy, which I expect since he isn't expected to tote the rock 300 or more time now with Bush in New Orleans. For what you paid in drafting him and his prospects for next season, I would hang on to McAllister. He is still relatively young and has only played 4 full seasons in as a starting tailback, and only three as the sole carrier. Hang on to McAllister; he will be a great #2 running back in 2007.

If you play in a performance-based keeper league, with no round value destroying your chances at keeping some of the quality sleepers, than you must take a deep look at Edgerrin James. Firstly, he finished 2006 as a top 15 running back in the NFL. Secondly, he is the first running back to eclipse 1,000 yards in Arizona since 1998 where Adrian Murrell did it. Sure, he averaged only 3.4 yards per carry for Arizona, but he did tally 1,159 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. No one is talking about James but the fact is that he is one of the best running backs to hitthe field on Sunday's in the last 10 to 15 years. With Ken Whisenhunt coaching in Arizona, I think James will be a strong sleeper in 2007. If I were you, and you play in a performance-based keeper league where fantasy points dictate what you give up for your keepers, take a long, long look at Edgerrin James, I think he is worth a roster spot in the off-season.

Marion Barber made a splash in 2006 with his 16 total touchdowns. The fact is that I am not sold on him being a strong runner between the twenties. But, if he should see more work, he should see the end zone a lot once again in 2007. You shouldn't have to pay a high price for him as he was a late round selection in most leagues, but I recommend hanging on to him. Also, there are rumors swirling in Dallas that Julius Jones could be dealt. If Jones is dealt, and Barber takes over as the primary ball carrier, his status is elevated into a sure-fire first round selection. Hang on to him as his value will only increase.

With DeShaun Foster falling apart in 2006, a huge door opened up for DeAngelo Williams in Carolina. Despite missing time to injuries and sharing the ball in a running back by committee, Williams was able to stockpile 814 total yards and only 2 touchdowns. In the five games where Williams carried the pigskin at least 13 times, he averaged 81.4 rushing yards per outing. He also proved to be very productive in the passing game, as he hauled in 33 receptions. If you go back to 2003 and watch Brian Westbrook, you will see so many comparisons between him then and DeAngelo Williams now. Hang on to Williams, as he once again proves, that the 2006 rookie running back class may end up being the best ever.

With Corey Dillon nearing the end of his career, and possibly being on his way out in Foxboro, Laurence Maroney has strong keeper value. If Maroney didn't play in a running back by committee, he would be a legitimate top 6 fantasy draft pick. It is the same old song for Maroney. He wasn't drafted high, or at all in some leagues, and if you can keep him at a relatively low cost to you, don't have a brain freeze, keep him.

As you can see, from veterans Edgerrin James and Deuce McAllister to youngsters Maurice Jones-Drew and Cedric Benson, there are many valuable running backs worth hanging on to considering their value in keeper leagues. Stay tuned to this series as I will feature quarterbacks and wide receivers/tight ends as well.

[C.P. Dymeck is a sports writer for ffLiveWire.com and is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers of America. You can contact him at pete_dymeck04@yahoo.com]

Monday, January 15, 2007

A complete list of the 2007 Underclassmen Declarees

Here is the final, official list of Underclassmen that have declared for the 2007 NFL Draft. These players will have 72 hours as of 11:59pm EST to rescind their draft intentions and return to college, provided they have not hired representation.

Abbate, Jon (OLB, Wake Forest)
Anderson, Jamaal (DE, Arkansas)
Applewhite, Antwan (DE, San Diego State)
Beason, Jon (LB, Miami, Fl.)
Branch, Alan (DT, Michigan)
Brennan, Colt (QB, Hawaii)
Bush, Michael (RB, Louisville)
Carter, Keenan (DT, Virginia)
Doughty, Stanley (DT, South Carolina)
Gaddis, C.J. (CB, Clemson)
Ginn Jr., Ted (WR, Ohio State)
Gonzalez, Anthony (WR, Ohio State)
Hall, Gabe (DT, Texas)
Henry, Chris (RB, Arizona)
Houston, Chris (CB,Arkansas)
Jackson, Brandon (RB, Nebraska)
Jarrett, Dwayne (WR, Southern Cal)
Johnson, Calvin (WR, Georgia Tech)
Johnson, Charles (DE, Georgia)
Johnson, Rory (OLB/S, Ole Miss)
Lynch, Marshawn (RB, California)
Meachem, Robert (WR, Tennessee)
Miller, Zach (TE, Arizona State)
Moss, Jarvis (DE, Florida)
Nelson, Reggie (S, Florida)
Oliver, Paul (CB, Georgia)
Olsen, Greg (TE, Miami, Fl.)
Peterson, Adrian (RB, Oklahoma)
Pittman, Antonio (RB, Ohio State)
Price, Maurice (WR, Charleston Southern)
Revis, Darrelle (CB, Pittsburgh)
Rice, Sidney (WR, South Carolina)
Russell, Gary (RB, Minnesota)
Russell, JaMarcus (QB, Louisiana State)
Siler, Brandon (OLB, Florida)
Smith-Anderson, Luke (TE, Idaho)
Smith, Ryan (CB, Florida)
Taylor, Ramonce (RB, Texas)
Timmons, Lawrence (OLB, Florida State)
Walker, Darius (RB, Notre Dame)
Ware, Danny (RB, Georgia)
Williams, Chaz (CB, Louisiana-Monroe)
Wright, Dwayne (RB, Fresno State)
Wright, Eric (CB, UNLV)

Sunday, January 14, 2007

NFL Draft Live Wire 1/14/07

Tomorrow is the deadline for the underclassmen to declare. Louisville quarterback Brian Brohm will hold a press conference tomorrow morning to announce his intentions on whether or not he will return to school. Besides Brohm, underclassmen Ted Ginn Jr., Colt Brennan, and Adrian Peterson have yet to declare for the NFL Draft.

Also, the 2007 Hula Bowl will be aired on ESPN tonight. This game will showcase many big-time draft prospects. Here is a list of meaningful prospects that will participate in tonight's game:
  • QB Jared Zabransky, Boise State (6-2, 203)
  • QB John Stocco, Wisconsin (6-2, 205)
  • RB Nate Llaoa, Hawaii (5-9, 248)
  • RB Dwayne Wright, Fresno State (6-1, 224)
  • RB Reggie Merriweather, Clemson (5-8, 205)
  • WR Laurent Robinson, Illinois State (6-2, 201)
  • WR Roy Hall, Ohio State (6-3, 230)
  • WR Yamon Figurs, Kansas State (6-0, 180)
  • TE Anthony Pudewell, Nevada (6-4, 258)
  • DT Jay Alford, Penn State (6-3, 290)
  • DT Travis Tofi, Southern Cal (6-3, 275)
  • DE Zach West, UTEP (6-5, 300)
  • DE Matt Toeaina, Oregon (6-2, 300)
  • OLB Jay Henry, West Virginia (6-2, 225)
  • MLB Tim Shaw, Penn State (6-1, 233)
  • MLB Thaddeus Washington, Colorado (6-0, 240)
  • CB Reggie Lewis, Florida (5-10, 195)
The Hula Bowl will be televised at 8pm EST on ESPN.

Stay tuned for news as it breaks.

Saturday, January 13, 2007

Build or Destroy: WR Robert Meachem

At 6-3, 210, Robert Meachem appears to have a body built by design for the NFL, and he might, but his speed has been questioned throughout his career in Tennessee. He has entered the NFL Draft and will be one of the top wide receivers looked at by NFL franchises. He finished 2006 2 yards shy of 1,200 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. Meachem isn't afraid to extend his arms and take the punishment for the catch, but his route running will need fine tuned.

Meachem has ideal size, great leaping ability, and soft hands for the pigskin. He was known to exploit zone coverage and topple the safety's defensive posture. Despite not having a viable passing option after Meachem, he still succeeded in double coverage. He reminds me of Steve Smith from the Carolina Panthers, as he is rather humble, not afraid to lead, but if he does something positive for the team, he isn't afraid to get a little wild. I like his prospects to grow as a strong #2 in the NFL.

As for his negatives, he will need to improve on running routes. His timed speed coming out of high school as a pure 4.4, but since he has added 15-20 lbs. since 2003, many experts have questioned his speed. Meachem might have taken a few plays off this year as well. What will his desire be like on the next level? I also think he will need to improve on selling his routes and blocking downfield. He struggled dearly with both of those propositions in the film that I have seen. He reminds me of Mark Clayton in Baltimore.

Meachem is a sure-fire second round selection with the possibility of him falling to the third round. Either way, he should be a dependable prospect with upside similar to Marty Booker. Meachem's college career may have peaked some say, but I don't think it did and he would have been better suited staying in school.


He will need coached up on the next level as I expect his first season to be similar to that of Maurice Stovall's in Tampa Bay. His fantasy value is decent, as his long-term potential is strong. Right now I would place him in the 2nd round of dynasty rookie drafts.

Friday, January 12, 2007

Brady Quinn to withdrawal from Senior Bowl

In breaking news, a well established source of knowledge on the NFL Draft has declared that Brady Quinn from Notre Dame is backing out of the Senior Bowl and quarterback Chris Leak from Florida will replace him. Could this be a more fallout from his poor performance in the Sugar Bowl where Quinn was clearly outshined by JaMarcus Russell? There is a certain amount of uncertainty when this withdrawal will be made by Brady Quinn.

From the seat on my couch, I can tell you that Quinn's value is already taking a turn for the worse, and he has nothing more to gain from the Senior Bowl. But, JaMarcus Russell isn't withdrawing from anything. This makes for some interesting discussion. Is Quinn getting out before it gets worse for him or is he making a sound decision. If you ask me, he has a lot to prove and some of my like-minded companions agree that Quinn has "bust" written all over him on the next level.

The facts are that Brady Quinn was invited to the Senior Bowl and Chris Leak received a late invitation. As I await confirmation on the complete details of this situation, go tell all of your buddies where you heard it first, ffLiveWire.com.

Wednesday, January 10, 2007

Build or Destroy: WR Sidney Rice

If there has ever been a mutant in the form of a wide receiver, it is Sidney Rice. Rice, the career receiving leader in South Carolina Gamecocks history has his eyes set on the NFL Draft and those in the shadows are watching. Rice is 6-4, 202 lbs. and has drawn comparisons to Javon Walker. He has played in the shadows of Calvin Johnson and Dwayne Jarrett. Even though he has not received the media awareness that the other guys have received, NFL scouts have had their eyes on Rice since he was recruited into South Carolina.

The pros seem to be endless for Rice. He has great hands, goes to the ball, and isn't afraid to take a hit across the middle or down the field. Rice has never had a case of the "drops" nor has he had any controversial character issues. He has drawn comparisons to Walker with his play, as I stated previously, but has also reminded people of Marvin Harrison when it comes to his humbleness for the game of football. He is a student of the game with a desire to work hard. Rice runs routes well and is a decent blocker. Did I mention that he has no major injury history?

The major question surrounding Sidney Rice is his speed. He is suspected of running a 4.5+ forty. The NFL combine might hurt him but naysayers even questioned Anquan Boldin's speed. Another question mark is his dedication. I see nothing wrong with it though. He always lit a fire under the average offensive minds that run the Gamecock offense. Also, I have never read anything that would say he took a play off either.

Sidney Rice is eyeing a mid to late first round selection in the NFL Draft. If his timed speed is considerably worse than previously thought, he might slide to the beginning of the second round, even though we all know that team's will not pass up a player like Rice. He will have an immediate impact wherever he lands. I can see him complimenting Lee Evans in Buffalo or Steve Smith in Carolina. It just depends on value based needs. Sidney Rice also has ties to new Falcons' head coach Bobby Petrino from the recruiting trails.

Sidney Rice is a mid to late first round rookie draft selection. Rice is one of those guys that comes along every once in a while. He will lead a productive and consistent NFL career. Like Johnson and Jarrett, Rice will have an immediate impact on whichever team drafts him.

Draft Live Wire News Update on RB Walker, CB Cason

In breaking news, I just received a confirmation that Notre Dame running back Darius Walker will announce his decision to enter the NFL Draft at a press conference tomorrow. This soon-to be former Fighting Irish tailback will hold a press conference at 1pm Friday. Walker just finished his second consecutive 1,000-yard rushing season and has his sights set on shaking up the draft board. With this decision, Walker is passing up the opportunity to finish as the all-time leading rusher in Notre Dame history.

Also, outstanding junior cornerback Antoine Cason from the University of Arizona will make his decision to declare or not tomorrow.

Stay tuned with ffLiveWire for all of your fantasy football, NFL Draft, and "everything else" needs.

Build or Destroy: QB Jordan Palmer

One of my favorite prospects is "J.P." Who's J.P.? No, not Losman, but Jordan Palmer. I really though Palmer's stock would take off this year but it really didn't do much, if anything, his value regressed. He threw 62 touchdowns and 50 interceptions in 34 games for U.T.E.P. His career completion percentage is only at 57% too. Yeah, and if you were wondering, he is the younger brother of Pro Bowl quarterback Carson Palmer.

Palmer has the best touch of any passer in this draft. At 6-5, 235, he has the ideal size for a quarterback. He is very tough and confident, was a great leader for the Miners. He has great accuracy when not being pressured and shows perseverance to complete a play under blind side pressure. Palmer has plenty of issues to address, but if he gets with the right coach, he could lead a productive career.

The largest knock on Palmer is his gunslinging, something I mentioned previously at the community on ffLiveWire.com. He averages 1.5 interceptions for every 4 quarters played. He isn't afraid to throw the ball and many scouts believe the reason his interception rate is so high is because he doesn't have great field vision. His progression should start in not forcing throws. Palmer cracks under pressure as well. Palmer mind as well have cinderblocks on his feet. Will need a lot of coaching up to succeed on the next level. He could end up being the next Tony Romo or the next Bruce Gradkowski.

Expect Palmer to get drafted in the late third, fourth, or fifth rounds. Depending on whether or not certain underclassmen declare, and where Trent Edwards (Stanford) lands, Palmer might even slide to the 6th round. He will be drafted as a student and learn his way from there. I think he has strong upside and if he puts two or three things together, could be starting in three or four years, like Tony Romo.

As far as his fantasy value for rookie drafts, he has none, unless you are absolutely loaded and can afford to stash him on your roster.

Even though I like the kid, his name is the only reason he is getting more buzz than quarterbacks like Colt Brennan (Hawaii), Trent Edwards (Stanford), and Drew Stanton (Michigan State).

Build or Destroy: QB Troy Smith

One of the most debated quarterbacks in recent memory is Troy Smith. After leading Ohio State into a National Championship, Smith was the talk among many writers as to whether or not he should be the top quarterback taken in the draft this April, leaving JaMarcus Russell as the outsider. Well, in an 8-day span, the role reversed and Smith is now on the outside of the first and second rounds looking in. He will not slip out of the first day unless he has a horrible Senior Bowl week and bad combine.

There are many positives in Smith's game. He has one heck of an arm, plus his mobility is more than adequate for the next level. He minimizes his mistakes in the passing game and has great accuracy. I like what I seen from Smith this year as he matured dearly from his incredible junior campaign. He took a giant leap in his passing abilities from 2005 to 2006 and is still progressing. Troy Smith also has a reputation of stepping it up in big games despite his disappearance in the BCS National Championship versus Florida.

As for his negatives, let me remind everyone that he was suspended for one game in 2005 for being found guilty of disorderly conduct. On the field though, Smith does have difficulty in reading defenses and seeing the entire field. He has raw potential but his mechanics can look worse than Vince Young's at times. We will also have to see how his character pans out on the next level. His value will take a dive like LenDale White's did last year. Smith could develop into a good NFL quarterback with the right coaching.

Even though he is the Heisman Trophy Winner, don't be fooled. Remember, Jason White from Oklahoma didn't get drafted. After his performance January 8th, Smith's value took a tumble and I look forward to teams like Tampa Bay, Carolina, Houston, and Kansas City to target him in the second and third rounds. Smith could also be sought after by an under-the-radar team looking for their next quarterback, maybe a franchise like St. Louis, Philadelphia, or Miami.

As for Smith's long-term fantasy potential, he has some, but depending on where he gets drafted, it is not substantial right now for rookie drafts unless something more concrete becomes evident.

If you are anxious to see where Troy Smith might get drafted, stay tuned for my next mock draft which will hit a web page near you next week.
 
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